In this article, we will formulate a Twins vs Rangers prediction for this MLB game on Wednesday, June 11, at Target Field in Minneapolis, Minnesota. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Texas Rangers Betting Preview
The Texas Rangers (32-35, 12-22 Away) were swept by the Tampa Bay Rays but bounced back with a series win against the Washington Nationals. Texas is now on a three-game winning streak following last night’s massive 16-4 victory in Minneapolis. These 16 runs are by far Texas’s most in a game this season. Josh Jung led the offense with four RBI, while Tyler Mahle got the win after allowing four runs on ten hits with three strikeouts and one walk in 5.2 innings.
This year, the Rangers average 3.54 runs per game (27th in the MLB) on a .225/.286/.361 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Rangers’ staff has a 3.12 ERA (3rd) and 1.13 WHIP (1st). Adolis Garcia leads the Rangers with a .220 batting average, seven home runs, and 30 RBI this season.
The projected starting pitcher for the Rangers is Jack Leiter, who is 4-2 in ten starts this season, with a 3.48 ERA and 1.16 WHIP in 51.2 innings.
Minnesota Twins Betting Preview
The Minnesota Twins (35-31, 19-11 Home) lost to the Rays and Mariners, beat the Athletics, and lost to the Blue Jays. That’s four losses in five games for Minnesota, including last night’s 16-4 in Game 1 against the Texas Rangers. Simeon Woods-Richardson took the loss after allowing seven runs (six earned) on 4.2 innings, allowing four strikeouts and three walks in 4.2 innings.
This season, the Twins average 4.24 runs per game (16th in the MLB) on a .243/.315/.389 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Twins’ staff has a 3.67 ERA (11th) and 1.19 WHIP (6th). Byron Buxton leads the Twins with a .268 batting average, ten home runs, and 38 RBI this season.
David Festa will take the mound for the Twins on Wednesday. The 25-year-old right-hander has a 0-1 record in four starts this year with a 5.40 ERA and 1.50 WHIP in 16.2 innings.
Why the Rangers will beat the Twins
- The Rangers have won each of their last five games as road underdogs against the Twins following a road win.
- The Twins have lost four of their last five games as home favorites.
- The Rangers have covered the run line in each of their last seven games as road underdogs against the Twins following a win.
- The Twins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five games as favorites against the Rangers following a home loss.
- The Twins have trailed after 5 innings in three of their last four night games against American League opponents.
Total Runs Facts
- Eight of the Twins’ last nine games as favorites against American League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Each of the Rangers’ last four games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in 10 of the Rangers’ last 11 games as road underdogs.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Twins’ last eight home games against AL West opponents.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Twins rank 27th in the league for steals this season (33).
- The Twins rank 22nd in the league for walks this season (197).
- The Rangers rank 2nd in the league for runs allowed this season (223).
- The Rangers rank 28th in the league for hits this season (489).
Twins vs Rangers Prediction
The Twins won six of the previous ten H2H encounters, but the Rangers were better in the last two. Even though the Twins are the favorites here, I am backing the Rangers to secure another W. They will surely not score 16 runs again, and I don’t expect a comfortable win, but the visitors have an edge in the pitching matchup. Jack Leiter allowed seven runs in his last five starts, two of which turned out to be quality starts. David Festa, on the other hand, was dismantled by the Athletics in his previous start, allowing eight runs in 3.2 innings. Festa doesn’t have a quality start this season, and I don’t think he will get one here. Go with the Rangers.