In this article we will formulate a Twins vs Royals prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, May 25th at Target Field in Minneapolis, Minnesota. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Minnesota Twins Betting Preview
The Minnesota Twins are 29-22 this year after they won the first two games in this series by scores of 3-1 and 5-4. In the game two win, Minnesota trailed 4-0 in the top of the fifth inning, but they scored the last five runs in the game for the win. The Twins recorded nine hits in the game and they were led by France, who went 1-5 with two RBIs in the win. Minnesota started Matthews, who allowed five hits and two earned runs over 4.0 innings, while Duran pitched the ninth and got the win.
Prior to this series, the Twins split two games with the Guardians and won two out of three against the Brewers. Minnesota has won 16 of their last 18 games and they are currently third in the AL Central standings. The Minnesota pitching staff has a 3.25 ERA with a 1.15 WHIP and a .231 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 209 runs with a .242 batting average and a .311 on base percentage this season. Byron Buxton (IL) has led Minnesota with 10 home runs and 27 RBIs, while Trevor Larnach has added seven home runs and 23 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Minnesota is Bailey Ober, who is 4-1 with a 3.68 ERA and a 1.34 WHIP over 51.1 innings pitched this year.
Kansas City Royals Betting Preview
The Kansas City Royals are 28-25 this season after they lost game two in this series by a score of 5-4 on Saturday. Kansas City scored the first four runs in the game, but they were held scoreless over the final four innings for the loss. The Royals recorded 11 hits in the game and they were led by Garcia, who went 1-5 with two RBIs in the loss. KC started Wacha, who allowed seven hits and four earned runs over 5.0 innings, while Lynch picked up the loss out of the bullpen.
Prior to this series, the Royals won two out of three against the Giants, but lost two out of three against the Cardinals before that. Kansas City has lost three of their last four games and they are currently fourth in the AL Central standings. The Kansas City pitching staff has a 3.07 ERA with a 1.18 WHIP and a .233 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 177 runs with a .246 batting average and a .301 on base percentage this season. Vinnie Pasquantino has led KC with eight home runs and 30 RBIs, while Bobby Witt has added five home runs and 28 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Kansas City is Kris Bubic, who is 5-2 with a 1.47 ERA and a 1.06 WHIP over 61.1 innings pitched this season.
Why the Royals will beat the Twins
- The Royals have won six of their last eight games as underdogs following a loss.
- The Twins have lost three of their last four day games against AL Central opponents following a home win.
- The Royals have covered the run line in each of their last 10 games as underdogs after playing the previous day.
- The Twins have failed to cover the run line in nine of their last 10 day games against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
- The Royals have led after 5 innings in four of their last five day games against the Twins.
- The Royals have led after 3 innings in four of their last five games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
Total Runs Facts
- Nine of the last 10 games between the Royals and Twins have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Five of the Royals’ last six day games against American League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Royals’ last eight games as underdogs against AL Central opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in four of the Twins’ last five day games.
Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts
- Byron Buxton has scored at least one run in each of his last seven appearances against AL opponents.
- Bailey Ober has recorded a win in four of his last five home appearances against AL Central opponents.
- Ty France has hit a home run in three of the Twins’ last four games against the Royals.
- Ty France has recorded at least one Single in seven of his last eight appearances against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
- Bailey Ober has recorded six or more strikeouts in seven of his last eight appearances with the Twins as favorites against AL Central opponents.
- Ty France has recorded at least one RBI in eight of his last nine home appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
- Harrison Bader has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 15 appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
Kansas City Royals Player Prop Facts
- Vinnie Pasquantino has recorded at least one Single in each of the Royals’ last seven games.
- Kris Bubic has recorded seven or more strikeouts in four of his last five road appearances against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
- Maikel Garcia has recorded at least one RBI in six of the Royals’ last seven day games.
- Bobby Witt Jr. has recorded at least one hit in each of the Royals’ last 21 games as road underdogs against AL Central opponents.
- Jonathan India has scored at least one run in six of his last seven appearances in day games.
- Kris Bubic has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances.
- MJ Melendez has hit a home run in two of his last three appearances with the Royals as road underdogs against the Twins.
Twins vs Royals Prediction
Minnesota was able to stay hot with another dramatic win on Saturday afternoon and they continue to make waves in the AL Central standings. The Twins are 18-7 at home this year, while the Royals are 11-16 on the road. Kansas City has not played very well over the last 10 days and their offense is really letting them down. The Royals are starting Bubic, who has allowed a total of one earned run over his last four starts. The Twins are going with Ober, who has allowed one earned run in four of his last five starts. This is a very good pitching matchup between Ober and Bubic, but I have to give the edge to Bubic and the Royals.