In this article we will formulate a Twins vs Royals prediction for this MLB game on Thursday, June 4th at Target Field in Minneapolis, Minnesota. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Minnesota Twins Betting Preview
The Minnesota Twins are 29-34 this season after they won two out of three against the White Sox by scores of 9-6, 6-4, and 0-8. In game three, Minnesota allowed four runs in the first inning and never had a chance in the ugly loss. The Twins recorded five hits and they committed three errors in the game, while they were led by Gray, who went 1-2. Bradley allowed seven hits and four earned runs over 4.2 innings for the loss, while Laweryson allowed three earned runs in relief. Prior to that series, Minnesota lost all three against the Pirates and three out of four against the White Sox.
This season, Minnesota has a 4.59 ERA with a 1.37 WHIP and a .250 opponent batting average, while they have scored 290 runs with a .236 batting average and a .316 on base percentage. Byron Buxton has led the Twins with 17 home runs and 27 RBIs, while Josh Bell has added five home runs and 32 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Minnesota is Andrew Morris, who is 1-2 with a 4.07 ERA and a 1.52 WHIP over 24.1 innings pitched this season.
Kansas City Royals Betting Preview
The Kansas City Royals are 24-38 this year after they won two out of three against the Reds by scores of 9-2, 3-4, and 5-2. In game three, Kansas City blew a 2-0 lead in the fifth inning, but they scored three runs in the ninth for the win. The Royals recorded nine hits in the game and they were led by Loftin, who went 1-4 with one home run and two RBIs. Kolek allowed six hits and two earned runs over 7.0 innings, while Lynch IV picked up the win and Lange got the save. Prior to that series, Kansas City lost all three against the Rangers and all three against the Yankees.
This season, Kansas City has a 4.43 ERA with a 1.39 WHIP and a .250 opponent batting average, while they have scored 238 runs with a .235 batting average and a .312 on base percentage. Salvador Perez has led the Royals with nine home runs and 25 RBIs, while Bobby Witt has added nine home runs and 26 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Kansas City is Seth Lugo, who is 2-4 with a 3.55 ERA and a 1.35 WHIP over 71.0 innings pitched this year.
Why the Minnesota Twins will win
- The Royals have lost each of their last 12 road games against the Twins following a win.
- The Twins have won each of their last 12 home games against the Royals following a loss.
- The Royals have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 11 night games against American League opponents.
- The Twins have covered the run line in each of their last seven night games against the Royals at Target Field following a loss.
- The Royals have lost the first inning in each of their last four games against opponents that held a losing record.
- The Royals have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last five road games against American League opponents.
- The Royals have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last seven games as road favorites against AL Central opponents.
Why the Kansas City Royals will win
- The Royals have won 15 of their last 17 Thursday games against teams that held a losing record.
- The Twins have lost six of their last seven night games against AL Central opponents following a home loss.
- The Royals have covered the run line in five of their last six road games after playing the previous day.
- The Twins have failed to cover the run line in three of their last four games as underdogs against AL Central opponents.
- The Twins have lost the first inning in three of their last four night games against opponents that held a losing record.
- The Twins have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last four games as underdogs against AL Central opponents.
- The Royals have led after 5 innings in each of their last four night games against the Twins.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Royals’ last 13 games as favorites against the Twins have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Fifteen of the Twins’ last 16 games as underdogs against the Royals have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Twins’ last eight Thursday games at Target Field.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Royals’ last eight road games.
Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts
- Byron Buxton has hit at least one home run in seven of his last eight appearances in night games against AL teams that held a losing record.
- Victor Caratini has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine home appearances against AL Central opponents.
- Byron Buxton ranks T4th in the league in Home Runs (17) this season.
Kansas City Royals Player Prop Facts
- Bobby Witt Jr. has hit a home run in three of the Royals’ last four games against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
- Seth Lugo has recorded five or more strikeouts in 12 of his last 15 appearances in night games.
- Maikel Garcia has recorded at least one hit in each of the Royals’ last 12 games against the Twins.
- Bobby Witt Jr. ranks T3rd in the league in Steals (20) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Twins rank T25th in the league for hits allowed this season (529).
- The Twins rank 25th in the league for runs allowed this season (314).
- The Royals rank T27th in the league for runs scored this season (238).
- The Royals rank 27th in the league for slugging percentage this season (.375).
Twins vs Royals Prediction
Kansas City comes into this matchup after a nice series win over Cincinnati and they have scored at least five runs in three of their last five games. The Royals are 9-21 on the road this year, while the Twins are 17-15 at home. Minnesota just won two out of three against the White Sox, but they have allowed 6+ runs in four of their last five. The Twins are going with Morris, who will operate as an opener, while Lugo has allowed 3+ earned runs in three of his last five starts. Take the over here.