In this article we will formulate a Twins vs Tigers prediction for this MLB game on Friday, August 15th at Target Field in Minneapolis, Minnesota. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Minnesota Twins Betting Preview
The Minnesota Twins are 57-64 this year after they lost game one by a score of 4-3 on Thursday night. Minnesota jumped out to a 3-0 lead in the third inning, but failed to score over the last eight innings in the loss. The Twins recorded seven hits in the game and they were led by Julien, Keaschall, and Jeffers, who all had one RBI in the loss. Minnesota started Ober, who allowed four hits and three earned runs over 5.1 innings, while Ramirez picked up the loss in extras.
Prior to this series, the Twins lost two out of three against the Yankees, but did win two out of three against the Royals before that. Minnesota has lost three of their last four games and they are currently fourth in the AL Central standings. The Minnesota pitching staff has a 4.26 ERA with a 1.28 WHIP and a .253 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 504 runs with a .239 batting average and a .309 on base percentage this season. Byron Buxton has led Minnesota with 24 home runs and 60 RBIs, while Trevor Larnach has added 16 home runs and 49 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Minnesota is Jose Urena, who is 0-0 with a 4.97 ERA and a 1.62 WHIP over 25.1 innings pitched this year.
Detroit Tigers Betting Preview
The Detroit Tigers are 71-52 this season after they won game one in extra innings on Thursday night. Detroit rallied to tie the game in the sixth inning and they made a huge play to get an out at home in the 10th, before getting the win in the 11th. The Tigers recorded six hits in the game and they were led by Greene, who went 1-4 with one home run and two RBIs in the win. Detroit started Skubal, who allowed six hits and three earned runs over 7.0 innings, while Montero got the win.
Prior to this series, the Tigers won two out of three against the White Sox and two out of three against the Angels. Detroit has won four of their last five games and they are currently first in the AL Central standings. The Detroit pitching staff has a 3.83 ERA with a 1.22 WHIP and a .239 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 588 runs with a .249 batting average and a .316 on base percentage this season. Riley Greene has led Detroit with 28 home runs and 89 RBIs, while Spencer Torkelson has added 26 home runs and 66 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Detroit is Charlie Morton, who is 7-10 with a 5.48 ERA and a 1.53 WHIP over 111.2 innings pitched this season.
Why the Tigers will beat the Twins
- The Twins have lost seven of their last eight night games after going to extra innings.
- The Tigers have won each of their last five games following an extra innings win.
- The Tigers have covered the run line in seven of their last eight games after playing the previous day following an extra innings win.
- The Twins have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five home games after going to extra innings.
- The Twins have trailed after 5 innings in five of their last six home games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
- The Twins have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last five games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
Total Runs Facts
- Six of the Tigers’ last seven road games against American League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Five of the Twins’ last six games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Tigers’ last nine road games against American League opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in 10 of the last 11 night games between the Tigers and Twins at Target Field.
Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts
- Trevor Larnach has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
- Trevor Larnach has hit a home run in three of his last five appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
- Byron Buxton ranks 5th amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.560) this season.
Detroit Tigers Player Prop Facts
- Riley Greene has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances against the Twins after playing the previous day.
- Charlie Morton has recorded six or more strikeouts in four of his last five road appearances.
- Charlie Morton has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
- Kerry Carpenter has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight road appearances against the Twins after playing the previous day.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Twins rank 3rd in the league for walks allowed this season (322).
- The Twins rank 25th in the league for walks this season (354).
- The Tigers rank 30th in the league for steals this season (51).
- The Tigers rank 3rd in the league for triples this season (25).
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Twins vs Tigers Prediction
Detroit had some issues at the plate early in game one on Thursday night, but they figured it out late and barely escaped with the win. The Tigers are 32-28 on the road this year, while the Twins are 32-26 at home. Minnesota has scored three runs or fewer in three of their last four games and they are going against Morton, who has had one good start and one poor start since coming to Detroit. The Tigers are going against Urena, who has allowed three earned runs and eight hits over 7.0 innings with the Twins. I definitely trust Morton over Urena and Detroit has the better lineup, so give me the Tigers here.