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Washington Nationals vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction 9-29-24 MLB Picks

Philadelphia Phillies (94-66) vs. Washington Nationals (70-90)
September 29, 2024 3:05 pm EDT
The Line: Washington Nationals +155 / Philadelphia Phillies -185; Over/Under: +7.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Philadelphia Phillies and the Washington Nationals meet Sunday in MLB action from Nationals Park. Here’s a Washington Nationals vs Philadelphia Phillies prediction. This will be the final installment in a three-game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Nationals vs Phillies pick.

Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview

The Phillies played the Chicago Cubs in their last series. Philadelphia managed wins in two of those three games. After a 9-1 loss to the Nationals in their opener, on Saturday the Phillies took a 6-3 loss.

In the starter slot for Philly on Sunday it’ll be Aaron Nola. This year Nola is 13-8 with a 3.52 ERA in 32 starts. Nola is 103-79 with a 3.70 ERA in 267 career starts.

Washington Nationals Betting Preview

Over on the Nationals’ side, they were swept by the Kansas City Royals over three games in their last series. On Saturday Washington posted four runs in the eighth inning during the win.

It’ll be Jake Irvin in the start for the Nats on Sunday. So far Irvin is 10-13 with a 4.22 ERA in 32 starts. Over 56 career starts Irvin is 13-20 with a 4.38 ERA.

Total Runs Facts

  • Seven of the Phillies’ last eight day games against National League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • Five of the Nationals’ last six day games against National League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Phillies’ last eight Sunday games at Nationals Park.

Washington Nationals Player Prop Facts

  • Joey Gallo has hit a home run in two of his last three appearances against the Phillies at Nationals Park.
  • Keibert Ruiz has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Nationals’ last four games against NL East opponents at Nationals Park.
  • Keibert Ruiz has recorded at least one Single in each of his last six appearances at Nationals Park.
  • Keibert Ruiz has scored a run in seven of his last eight appearances in day games against NL East teams that held a winning record.
  • Keibert Ruiz has recorded at least one total base in each of his last eight appearances at Nationals Park.
  • Keibert Ruiz has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight home appearances.

Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts

  • Nick Castellanos has recorded at least one total base in each of the Phillies’ last nine games.
  • Nick Castellanos has recorded at least one hit in each of the Phillies’ last nine games.
  • Aaron Nola has recorded seven or more strikeouts in four of his last five appearances.
  • Trea Turner has hit a home run in two of the Phillies’ last three games against the Nationals.
  • Austin Hays has recorded an RBI in each of his last three appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Bryce Harper has recorded at least one Single in each of his last six appearances in day games against NL East teams that held a losing record.
  • Trea Turner has scored at least one run in five of his last six appearances against the Nationals after playing the previous day.

Washington Nationals vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction

I might try the Nationals in this one. Irvin needs a good bounce-back after five earned in 4.0 innings versus the Cubs his last time up, though. Prior to that Irvin had two earned in 13.1 innings over two starts, though. As for Nola, he’s 1-0 with three earned in 13.0 innings over his last pair.

On Saturday the Nats got 6.0 innings, three hits, one walk, nine Ks and zero earned from starter MacKenzie Gore. Joey Gallo and James Wood each had homers, accounting for five RBI. I like Washington to keep it going Sunday.

Andrew's Free Pick: Washington Nationals +155

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Andrew

Andrew has been writing about college, professional and fantasy sports betting since 2013. Andrew's goal is to break down the complicated numbers and trends into a language that's easily accessible to novice sports bettors and seasoned professionals alike.

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