The San Diego Padres and the Washington Nationals meet Sunday in MLB action from Nationals Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals prediction.
Starting Pitching Matchup
The San Diego Padres will send out Nick Pivetta for the start here, and Pivetta is 9-2 with a 2.88 ERA and 122 strikeouts this season. In his last five starts against the Nationals, Pivetta is 1-3 with a 7.11 ERA and 27 strikeouts. MacKenzie Gore will get the nod for Washington here, and Gore is 4-8 with a 3.02 ERA and 138 strikeouts this season. In his career, Gore is 1-2 with a 4.35 ERA and 21 strikeouts against the Padres.
San Diego Padres Recap
The San Diego Padres come into this game looking to bounce back from a 4-2 loss at the hands of the Nationals on Saturday to drop to 53-45 on the year. After this series, the Padres will head on the road for a series against the Miami Marlins.
Padres Alternate Wins & Losses In 4 Straight
Manny Machado has 108 hits, including a team-high 22 doubles, 18 home runs, 60 RBIs, and 8 stolen bases, while Fernando Tatis Jr. has 97 hits with a team-high 16 home runs and 42 RBIs, along with 22 stolen bases of his own this season. Luis Arraez has added 104 hits with 17 doubles, 4 triples, 5 home runs, and 35 RBIs, while Jackson Merrill’s added 65 hits with 7 home runs and 32 RBIs as well. Xander Bogaerts also has 20 doubles and 16 stolen bases this season. Gavin Sheets also has 15 doubles, 14 home runs, and 50 RBIs this season.
Why the San Diego Padres will win
- The Nationals have lost each of their last seven day games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Padres have won each of their last nine games as favorites following a loss.
- The Padres have covered the run line in each of their last 10 day games against National League opponents following a loss.
- The Nationals have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven home games against the Padres following a win.
San Diego Padres Player Prop Facts
- Manny Machado has hit a home run in two of the Padres’ last three games against opponents that held a losing record.
- Nick Pivetta has recorded a win in four of his last five appearances with his team as a favorite against NL East opponents .
- Nick Pivetta has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last five appearances against NL opponents.
- Jose Iglesias has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 16 road appearances against NL East opponents.
- Manny Machado ranks 9th in the league in Hits (108) this season.
Washington Nationals Recap
The Washington Nationals come into this game looking to add on to their win over the Padres from Saturday to climb to 39-59 this season. After this series, the Nats will welcome the Cincinnati Reds to town for a series
Nationals Snap Five-Game Losing Skid
Keibert Ruiz has 63 hits with 12 doubles and a pair of home runs with 25 RBIs, while James Wood has 99 hits with 19 doubles and a team-high 24 home runs, along with 69 RBIs and 13 stolen bases while also putting up 119 strikeouts. Nathaniel Lowe has 85 hits with 14 doubles and 61 RBIs, along with 14 home runs and 112 strikeouts. CJ Abrams has 13 home runs and 35 RBIs along with 20 doubles and 20 stolen bases, while Luis Garcia Jr. has 20 doubles and 8 stolen bases of his own this season. Dylan Crews has also logged 11 stolen bases this season.
Why the Washington Nationals will win
- The Padres have lost each of their last four games as road favorites after playing the previous day.
- The underdogs have won five of the Padres’ last seven games.
- The Padres have failed to cover the run line in nine of their last 10 games as favorites after playing the previous day.
- The Nationals have covered the run line in eight of their last nine games as home underdogs against NL West opponents.
Washington Nationals Player Prop Facts
- Nathaniel Lowe has hit at least one home run in two of his last three appearances with his team as a home underdog against the Padres.
- MacKenzie Gore has recorded six or more strikeouts in 11 of his last 12 appearances against NL opponents that held a winning record.
- CJ Abrams has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
- Amed Rosario has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances with the Nationals as home underdogs against NL West opponents.
- MacKenzie Gore ranks 6th in the league for total Strikeouts (138) this season.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Nationals’ last six day games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Five of the Padres’ last six road games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals Prediction
I’m on the under in this one. I get the case to be made for either side in this one, but I think this is going to be an out-and-out pitcher’s duel here. Gore has been solid at home this season, and I’m still not buying into the Padres against a lefty. Pivetta already faced the Nats not that long ago and threw seven shutout innings. I think this is going to end up being lower-scoring as well, so give me the under here.