In this article, we will formulate a White Sox vs Braves Prediction for this MLB game on Tuesday, August 19th at the Truist Park in the second game of this series, with the White Sox having the 1-0 lead. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Atlanta Braves Preview
The Atlanta Braves have a 56-69 record this season and are sitting on the 4th place of the NL East. The Braves have a 30-31 home record and 56-59 in over/under. They are coming off a 9-13 home defeat by the White Sox, which ended their five-game winning streak. Over is 9-4-1 in their last 14 games and are playing the Marlins and the Mets next.
The Braves have a .244 batting average this season, .320 OBP and .394 Slugging percentage. Atlanta’s pitching staff has a 4.29 ERA and 1.30 WHIP. Matt Olson leads the Braves with 128 hits, and he is also the team’s best hitter with a .267 batting average. He also leads the team in RBI, with 72, while Marcell Ozuna leads the team in home runs with 20.
Bryce Elder (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Braves, and he has a 5-9 record, 5.89 ERA and 1.52 WHIP.
Chicago White Sox Preview
The Chicago White Sox have a 45-80 record this season and are sitting on the last place of the AL Central. The White Sox have a 19-44 road record and are 56-61 in over/under. They are coming off a 13-9 road victory over the Braves, which ended their four-game losing streak. Under is 4-1 in their last 5 games and are playing the Royals and the Twins next.
The White Sox have a .231 batting average this season, .301 OBP and .371 Slugging percentage. Chicago’s pitching staff has a 4.17 ERA and 1.37 WHIP. Lenyn Sosa leads the White Sox with 1057 hits, and he is the team’s best hitter with a .274 batting average. He also leads the team in RBI with 54, adding a team-high 17 home runs.
Shane Smith (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the White Sox, and he has a 3-7 record, 4.01 ERA and 1.28 WHIP.
Why the Atlanta Braves will win
- The White Sox have lost each of their last 10 night games against NL East opponents following a win.
- The Braves have won each of their last six night games against AL Central opponents following a loss.
- The Braves have covered the run line in eight of their last nine games after playing the previous day.
- The White Sox have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five games against NL East opponents following a win.
- The White Sox have trailed after 3 innings in three of their last four road night games.
- The White Sox have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last five road night games.
Why the Chicago White Sox will win
- The underdogs have won each of the Braves’ last six games.
- The Braves have lost each of their last seven home games against American League opponents that held a losing record.
- The Braves have failed to cover the run line each of their last seven home games against American League opponents that held a losing record.
- The road team has covered the run line in each of the Braves’ last six games.
- The Braves have lost the first inning in three of their last four night games against American League opponents that held a losing record.
- The White Sox have led after 3 innings in eight of their last nine games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
- The White Sox have led after 5 innings in each of their last six night games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
Total Runs Facts
- Eight of the Braves’ last nine night games against American League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Four of the White Sox’s last five road games against NL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Braves’ last five games.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the White Sox’s last four games as underdogs against NL East opponents.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Braves rank 3rd in the league for walks this season (451).
- The Braves rank 25th in the league for doubles this season (187).
- The White Sox rank 29th in the league for hits this season (954).
- The White Sox rank 29th in the league for batting average this season (.231).
White Sox vs Braves Prediction
The White Sox are 5-1 in their last 6 meetings against the Braves, but the Braves are 4-3 in their last 7 meetings in Atlanta. Under is 5-2-1 in their last 8 meetings.
In this White Sox vs Braves Prediction, the Braves are coming as -175 home favorites. As much as I would like to fade the Braves with Elder on the mound, I don’t expect the White Sox to win back-to-back road games. Since I don’t have faith in either side, lets take a look at the total. Elder has been weaker at home for the Braves with a 6.66 home ERA and Smith has been weaker on the road for the White Sox, with a 4.19 road ERA. Both pitchers are also in poor form coming into this matchup, with 4.57 and 6.59 ERA across their last five starts respectively. Yesterday’s game had a total of 22 runs, and the Braves have scored 5+ runs in 8 of their last 10 games, while the White Sox have 6+ earned runs in four of their last six. There are going to be runs in this one, so take the over 9.