White Sox vs Mets Prediction 5/26/25 MLB Picks Today

The Chicago White Sox are visiting the New York Mets on Monday, May 26^th at the Citi Field in the opening game of this series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a White Sox vs Mets Prediction. We will examine:

The New York Mets’ recent form and player performance

The Chicago White Sox’s recent form and player performance

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the New York Mets

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Chicago White Sox

Recent betting trends in games played between the Chicago White Sox vs New York Mets

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Chicago White Sox vs New York Mets game

New York Mets Preview

The New York Mets have a 32-21 record this season and are sitting in second place in the NL East. The Mets have a 19-6 home record and are 18-32 in over/under. They are coming off a 3-1 home victory over the Dodgers, and are 3-1 in their last 4 games. Under is 8-2 in their last 10 games, and are playing the Rockies and the Dodgers next.

The Mets have a .245 batting average this season, a .328 OBP, and a .404 slugging percentage. New York’s pitching staff has a 2.81 ERA and 1.24 WHIP.  Francisco Lindor leads the Mets with 57 hits, adding a team-high 10 home runs. Pete Alonso leads the team in RBI with 40 and in batting average with .291.

Clay Holmes (R) will take the mound for the Mets, and he has a 5-3 record, 3.13 ERA, and 1.24 WHIP. He has been weaker at home with a 3.86 ERA across four home starts, and he struggled in his previous home start, as he gave up 4 runs in 6 innings of work. This will be his first career start against the White Sox.

Chicago White Sox Preview

The Chicago White Sox have a 17-36 record this season and are sitting in last place in the AL Central. The White Sox have a 5-21 road record and are 24-25 in over/under. They are coming off a 4-5 road defeat by the Rangers, which ended their previous two-game winning streak. Over is 3-1 in their last 4 games, and they are playing the Orioles and the Tigers next.

The White Sox have a .221 batting average this season, a .291 OBP, and a .343 Slugging percentage. Chicago’s pitching staff has a 4.10 ERA and 1.37 WHIP. Lenyn Sosa leads the White Sox with 49 hits and a team-high .283 batting average. Miguel Vargas leads the team in RBI, with 23, and in home runs, with 7.

Adrian Houser (R) will take the mound for the White Sox, and he has a 1-0 record, 0.00 ERA, and 0.83 WHIP, as his only start this season was a shutout performance in 6 innings pitched against the Mariners. He had a 5.84 ERA and 1.53 WHIP last season with the Mets, and he has a record of 1-1 with an ERA of 2.89 and 11 strikeouts in 5 appearances versus the Mets in his career.

Why the New York Mets will win

• The White Sox have lost each of their last eight road games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Mets have won each of their last seven home games against American League opponents.
• The White Sox have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight Monday day road games.
• The home team has covered the run line in each of the White Sox’s last five games.
• The White Sox have lost the first inning in three of their last four day games.
• The Mets have led after 5 innings in each of their last four day games at Citi Field against American League opponents.
• The White Sox have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last seven day games.

Why the Chicago White Sox will win

• The White Sox have won each of their last five games as underdogs following a home loss.
• The Mets have lost four of their last five games as favorites against American League opponents.
• The Mets have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight day games against AL Central opponents following a home win.
• The road team has covered the run line in 10 of the last 11 games between the White Sox and Mets.
• The White Sox have led after 3 innings in each of their last three games against NL East opponents.
• The White Sox have won the first inning in three of their last four games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
• The Mets have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last four games against American League opponents that held a losing record.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Mets’ last seven day games against American League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Nine of the White Sox’s last 10 games as underdogs against the Mets have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in 15 of the Mets’ last 16 day games against American League opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the White Sox’s last four road games.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Mets rank 1st in the league for ERA this season (2.81).
• The Mets rank 1st in the league for home runs allowed this season (34).
• The White Sox rank 30th in the league for hits this season (381).
• The White Sox rank 29th in the league for batting average this season (.221).

White Sox vs Mets Prediction

The Mets are 8-1 in their last 9 meetings against the White Sox, and under is 9-1 in their last 10 meetings. In this White Sox vs Mets Prediction, the Mets are coming as huge -310 home favorites. The Mets are rightfully favored, as they have a superior overall record this season and have been extremely strong at home, while the White Sox have been one of the weakest road teams in the league.

The Mets also have the third-best bullpen in the MLB and have a better batting average. Houser looked good in his first start, but even if he does well while he is on the mound, I expect the Mets to get into Chicago’s shaky bullpen. Take the New York Mets on the runline.