In this article we will formulate a Yankees vs Astros prediction for this MLB game on Thursday, August 27th at Yankee Stadium in Bronx, New York. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
New York Yankees Betting Preview
The New York Yankees are 75-57 this year after they split the first two games by scores of 7-9 and 9-3. In game two, New York blew a 3-2 lead in the seventh inning, but they scored the last six runs to get the win. The Yankees recorded 13 hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Bellinger, who went 1-5 with two RBIs. Rodriguez allowed three hits and three earned runs over 6.0 innings, while Blackburn picked up the win. Prior to this series, New York won two out of three against the Blue Jays and all three against the Orioles.
This season, New York has a 3.23 ERA with a 1.18 WHIP and a .225 opponent batting average, while they have scored 595 runs with a .231 batting average and a .311 on base percentage. Ben Rice has led the Yankees with 35 home runs and 83 RBIs, while Cody Bellinger has added 12 home runs and 58 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Gerrit Cole, who is 7-6 with a 3.11 ERA and a 1.07 WHIP over 92.2 innings pitched this year.
Houston Astros Betting Preview
The Houston Astros are 66-67 this season after they lost game two by a score of 3-9 on Wednesday night. Houston led 1-0 in the first inning, but only scored two times in the last eight innings for the loss. The Astros recorded four hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Varsho, who went 2-4 with one home run and one RBI. Lambert allowed seven hits and two earned runs over 5.2 innings, while Sousa allowed four earned runs for the loss. Prior to this series, Houston lost two out of three against the Athletics and two out of three against the Angels.
This season, Houston has a 4.68 ERA with a 1.37 WHIP and a .241 opponent batting average, while they have scored 608 runs with a .242 batting average and a .317 on base percentage. Yordan Alvarez has led the Astros with 36 home runs and 91 RBIs, while Christian Walker has added 23 home runs and 73 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Houston is Hayden Wesneski, who is 3-1 with a 4.23 ERA and a 1.23 WHIP over 27.2 innings pitched this season.
Why the New York Yankees will win
- The Yankees have won each of their last four night games after playing the previous day.
- The Astros have lost four of their last five games after playing the previous day.
- The Yankees have covered the run line in each of their last seven games after playing the previous day.
- The Astros have failed to cover the run line in nine of their last 10 games after playing the previous day.
- The Yankees have led after 3 innings in each of their last six games as favorites.
- The Astros have lost the first inning in three of their last four games as road underdogs against AL opponents.
- The Astros have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last seven road games.
Why the Houston Astros will win
- The Astros have won each of their last six games as road underdogs against AL opponents following a loss.
- The Yankees have lost each of their last four games as home favorites against the Astros following a win.
- The Astros have covered the run line in each of their last 10 games as road underdogs against AL opponents following a road loss.
- The Yankees have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four home games against the Astros following a win.
- The Yankees have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last five Thursday night games against AL West opponents that held a losing record.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the last seven games between the Astros and Yankees have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Each of the Astros’ last five games as underdogs against AL opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of Gerrit Cole’s last eight appearances as a starter.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in eight of the Astros’ last nine games at Yankee Stadium.
New York Yankees Player Prop Facts
- Luis Garcia has hit a home run in each of his last three appearances against the Astros.
- Gerrit Cole has recorded nine or more strikeouts in each of his last 10 home appearances against AL West opponents that held a losing record.
- Cody Bellinger has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances.
- Gerrit Cole has recorded a win in each of his last eight Thursday appearances.
- Jazz Chisholm ranks 2nd in the league in Steals (36) this season.
Houston Astros Player Prop Facts
- Yainer Diaz has hit at least one home run in each of his last two road appearances against AL opponents.
- Yordan Alvarez has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 13 appearances in night games against AL East teams that held a winning record.
- Hayden Wesneski has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances against AL opponents.
- Yordan Alvarez ranks 1st amongst qualified players for Batting Average (.322) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Yankees rank 30th in the league for hits this season (1008).
- The Yankees rank 1st in the league for ERA this season (3.23).
- The Astros rank 29th in the league for steals this season (40).
- The Astros rank T28th in the league for walks allowed this season (550).
Yankees vs Astros Prediction
New York was able to get the win on Wednesday in game two and they have scored 24 runs in their last three games. The Yankees are 34-29 at home this year, while the Astros are 33-32 on the road. Houston has lost three of their last four games and they have allowed 7+ in three straight. The Astros are starting Wesneski, who has allowed 0, 5, and 3 earned runs in his last three starts, while Cole has allowed two earned runs or fewer in five straight starts. I don’t love the price, but I am taking the Yankees ML here.