In this article, we will formulate a Yankees vs Brewers prediction for this MLB game on Thursday, March 27th at Yankee Stadium in New York. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
New York Yankees Betting Preview
The New York Yankees went 94-68 last season, and they won the AL East by three games over the Orioles. New York got a bye through the Wild Card Round, and they defeated the Royals in four games in the ALDS. The Yankees went on to beat the Guardians in five games in the ALCS, as they scored five runs or more in each game, but they lost the World Series to the Dodgers in five games. New York finished the regular season by winning 11 of their last 17 games, which clinched the AL East. In Spring Training, the Yankees went 14-14, which was fifth in the Grapefruit League, but they did go just 2-3-2 in their last seven games.
Last year, the New York pitching staff had a 3.74 ERA with a 1.24 WHIP and a .233 opponent batting average, while the offense scored 815 runs with a .248 batting average and a .333 on-base percentage. New York was one of the best teams in the MLB at hitting and pitching last year, so they will look to replicate that this season. The Yankees were led by Aaron Judge, who hit .322 with 58 home runs and 144 RBIs in 2024. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Carlos Rodon, who went 16-9 with a 3.96 ERA and a 1.22 WHIP last year.
Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview
The Milwaukee Brewers were 93-69 last year, and they won the NL Central by 10 games over the Cubs and Cardinals. Milwaukee had a great regular season, but they lost in three games to the Mets in the NL Wild Card round. Milwaukee did finish the regular season playing well, as they won five of their last seven games, but they ran into a very hot Mets team in the postseason. In Spring Training, the Brewers went 16-14, which was seventh in the Cactus League, but they were just 3-5 over their last eight games.
Last season, the Milwaukee pitching staff had a 3.65 ERA with a 1.23 WHIP and a .237 opponent batting average, while their offense scored 777 runs with a .248 batting average and a .326 on-base percentage. Milwaukee was seventh in runs scored in 2024, but they were 16th in home runs hit. The Brewers were led by Willy Adames last season, but he is no longer with the team, while Rhys Hoskins hit .214 with 26 home runs and 82 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Milwaukee is Freddy Peralta, who was 11-9 with a 3.68 ERA and a 1.21 WHIP last year.
Why the Yankees will beat the Brewers
- The Yankees have won six of their last seven season openers.
- The Brewers have lost four of their last five road openers.
- The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in nine of their last 10 season openers.
- The favorites have covered the run line in nine of the Yankees’ last 11 games.
- The Yankees have won the first inning in each of their last three games against the Brewers.
- The Yankees have led after 3 innings in seven of their last eight home games.
- The Yankees have led after 5 innings in five of their last six season openers as favorites.
Total Runs Facts
- Seven of the Yankees’ last eight games as favorites against the Brewers have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Each of the Brewers’ last four games as underdogs against American League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in 11 of the Yankees’ last 12 games as home favorites against NL Central opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Brewers’ last four games as underdogs against AL East opponents.
New York Yankees Player Prop Facts
- Jazz Chisholm has recorded a Double in each of his last three appearances against NL Central opponents.
- Carlos Rodon has recorded a win in four of his last five appearances in day games.
- Aaron Judge has hit a home run in each of the Yankees’ last two games against the Brewers.
- Aaron Judge has recorded at least one Single in each of the Yankees’ last six season openers as favorites.
- Paul Goldschmidt has scored at least one run in each of his last six appearances in home openers.
- Aaron Judge has recorded at least one RBI in four of the Yankees’ last five home games.
- Carlos Rodon has recorded seven or more strikeouts in eight of his last 10 appearances against NL Central opponents.
- Aaron Judge has recorded at least one hit in each of the Yankees’ last eight season openers.
Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts
- Christian Yelich has hit a home run in three of his last five appearances in day games.
- Sal Frelick has recorded a Double in each of his last three appearances in day games.
- Freddy Peralta has recorded a win in five of his last six appearances with the Brewers as road underdogs.
- William Contreras has recorded at least one RBI in six of his last seven appearances with the Brewers as road underdogs.
- Rhys Hoskins has scored at least one run in each of his last four appearances against the Yankees.
- Brice Turang has recorded at least one Single in eight of the Brewers’ last nine games as underdogs.
- Freddy Peralta has recorded six or more strikeouts in six of his last seven road appearances against AL opponents.
- William Contreras has recorded at least one hit in each of the Brewers’ last 10 games against AL East opponents.
Yankees vs Brewers Prediction
New York comes into this season trying to bounce back from that tough World Series loss to the Dodgers last year, but they are dealing with quite a few injuries right now. Milwaukee had a very solid 2024 season as well, but it resulted in just one playoff win. I don’t love the pitching matchup in this game, as I don’t trust either pitcher, but I will side with the Yankees. I know New York has injuries right now, but the Brewers are also dealing with injuries, and Peralta has not been sharp in the Spring. Take New York here.