In this article, we will formulate a Yankees vs Cardinals Prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, August 17th at the Busch Stadium in the third game of this series, with the Yankees having the 2-0 lead. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Saint Louis Cardinals Preview
The Saint Louis Cardinals have a 61-63 record this season and are sitting on the 4th place of the NL Central. The Cardinals have a 35-29 home record and are 61-57 in over/under They are coming off an 8-12 home defeat by the Yankees, and have four consecutive losses. Under is 6-3 in their last 9 games and are playing the Marlins and the Rays next.
The Cardinals have a .250 batting average this season, .318 OBP and .388 Slugging percentage. Saint Louis’ pitching staff has a 4.25 ERA and 1.29 WHIP. Brendan Donovan leads the Cardinals with 118 hits, while Alec Burleson is the team’s best hitter with a .284 batting average. Wilson Contreras leads the team in RBI, with 65, adding a team-high 16 home runs.
Miles Mikolas (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Cardinals, and he has a 6-9 record, 4.97 ERA and 1.28 WHIP.
New York Yankees Preview
The New York Yankees have a 66-57 record this season and are sitting on the third place of the AL East. The Yankees have a 29-32 road record and are 55-63 in over/under. They are coming off a 12-8 road victory over the Cardinals, and are 4-1 in their last 5 games. Under is 4-2 in their last 6 games and are playing the Rays and the Red Sox next.
The Yankees have a .250 batting average this season, .330 OBP and .447 Slugging percentage. New York’s pitching staff has a 4.04 ERA and 1.25 WHIP. Aaron Judge leads the Yankees with 136 hits, adding team-highs both in RBI, with 91 and in home runs, with 39. He is also the team’s best hitter, with a .333 batting average.
Will Warren (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Yankees, and he has a 7-5 record, 4.34 ERA and 1.27 WHIP.
Why the St. Louis Cardinals will win
- The Yankees have lost five of their last six games as road favorites following a win.
- The Cardinals have won nine of their last 10 day games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
- The Cardinals have covered the run line in nine of their last 10 day games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
- The Yankees have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine road games.
- The Cardinals have led after 3 innings in seven of their last eight games against American League opponents.
- The Cardinals have led after 5 innings in each of their last five day games against the Yankees.
- The Cardinals have won the first inning in four of their last five day games against American League opponents.
Why the New York Yankees will win
- The Cardinals have lost each of their last six games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
- The road team has won each of the Cardinals’ last four games.
- The Cardinals have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine home games against American League opponents.
- The Yankees have covered the run line in six of their last seven games against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
- The Yankees have led after 3 innings in five of their last six day games against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
- The Cardinals have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last 10 home games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
- The Cardinals have lost the first inning in seven of their last eight home games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
Total Runs Facts
- Six of the Cardinals’ last seven games as underdogs against American League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Five of the Yankees’ last six games as favorites against National League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Cardinals’ last eight home games against American League opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Yankees’ last eight games.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Cardinals rank 30th in the league for triples this season (5).
- The Cardinals rank 29th in the league for strikeouts this season (905).
- The Yankees rank 1st in the league for home runs this season (195).
- The Yankees rank 1st in the league for slugging percentage this season (.447).
Yankees vs Cardinals Prediction
The Cardinals are 7-4 in their last 11 meetings against the Yankees, and are 5-3 in their last 8 meetings in Saint Louis. Over is 4-1 in their last 5 meetings.
In this Yankees vs Cardinals Prediction, the Yankees are coming as -150 road favorites. I don’t trust either pitcher in this matchup, as they both have a combined 9.31 ERA, and Warren has been terrible on the road for the Yankees, with a 6.48 road ERA, and Mikolas has been in mediocre form for the Cardinals, with a 5.11 ERA across his last 5 starts. The Yankees have the third-best offense in the league with 5.1 runs per game, and with yesterday’s game going way over the total with 20 total runs, I like another high-scoring affair today. Take the over 9 runs in this one.