In this article, we will formulate a Yankees vs Cubs prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, July 13th at Yankee Stadium in New York. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
New York Yankees Betting Preview
The New York Yankees are 53-42 this season after they split the first two games in this series by scores of 11-0 and 2-5. In their game two loss, New York fell behind early in the game, but they found two runs in the ninth to avoid the shutout. The Yankees recorded six hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Judge, who went 3-4 with one home run and two RBIs in the loss. New York started Fried, who allowed six hits and three earned runs over 3.0 innings for the loss, while Loaisiga allowed one earned run in relief.
Prior to this series, the Yankees swept the Mariners in three games, but lost two out of three against the Mets before that. New York has won five of their last six games, and they are currently second in the AL East standings. The New York pitching staff has a 3.82 ERA with a 1.21 WHIP and a .224 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 500 runs with a .257 batting average and a .338 on-base percentage this season. Aaron Judge has led New York with 35 home runs and 81 RBIs, while Cody Bellinger has added 16 home runs and 54 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Will Warren, who is 6-4 with a 4.70 ERA and a 1.40 WHIP over 90.0 innings pitched this season.
Chicago Cubs Betting Preview
The Chicago Cubs are 56-39 this year after they won game two by a score of 5-2 on Saturday afternoon. Chicago jumped out to a 4-0 lead in the third inning, and they were able to cruise to an easy victory. The Cubs recorded eight hits in the game, and they were led by Kelly, who went 2-3 with one home run and two RBIs in the win. Chicago started Boyd, who allowed four hits and zero earned runs over 8.0 innings for the win, while Palencia picked up the save.
Prior to this series, the Cubs lost two out of three against the Twins, but did win two out of three against the Cardinals before that. Chicago has lost three of their last five games, and they are currently first in the NL Central standings. The Chicago pitching staff has a 3.87 ERA with a 1.24 WHIP and a .247 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 508 runs with a .255 batting average and a .325 on-base percentage this season. Seiya Suzuki has led Chicago with 25 home runs and 77 RBIs, while Pete Crow-Armstrong has added 25 home runs and 70 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Chicago is Shota Imanaga, who is 5-3 with a 2.80 ERA and a 0.98 WHIP over 61.0 innings pitched this year.
Why the Cubs will beat the Yankees
- The Yankees have lost four of their last five games as favorites following a loss.
- The Cubs have won six of their last nine games as underdogs against AL East opponents.
- The Cubs have covered the run line in five of their last six games as road underdogs against AL East opponents.
- The Yankees have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six home games against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
- The Cubs have led after 5 innings in five of their last six road games against AL East opponents.
- The Cubs have led after 3 innings in four of their last five road games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
Total Runs Facts
- Twelve of the Yankees’ last 13 games have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Each of the Cubs’ last six day games against AL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the last eight day games between the Cubs and Yankees.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in 10 of the Cubs’ last 12 day games against American League opponents.
New York Yankees Player Prop Facts
- Aaron Judge has hit at least one home run in three of the Yankees’ last four home games against NL Central opponents.
- Cody Bellinger has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 19 appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
- Cody Bellinger has recorded a Double in each of the Yankees’ last three day games against opponents that held a winning record.
Chicago Cubs Player Prop Facts
- Shota Imanaga has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his three previous appearances against AL East opponents.
- Nico Hoerner has recorded at least one hit in each of the Cubs’ last 11 road games against opponents that held a winning record.
- Carson Kelly has hit a home run in each of the Cubs’ last three day games against opponents that held a winning record.
- Shota Imanaga has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances with the Cubs as road underdogs.
- Seiya Suzuki has recorded a Double in three of the Cubs’ last four games against opponents that held a winning record.
Yankees vs Cubs Prediction
New York had their winning streak snapped on Saturday afternoon in game two of this series, but they can still get the series win here. The Yankees are 30-18 at home this year, while the Cubs are 26-23 on the road. Chicago has a very slim lead in the NL Central, and they are starting Imanaga, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five starts. The Yankees are going with Warren, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of his last four, but did allow eight earned runs two starts ago. I don’t trust Warren on the mound for New York, especially against this Chicago lineup, so I will take the Cubs here.