In this article, we will formulate a Yankees vs Cubs Prediction for this MLB matchup on Saturday, August 1st in the second game of this series. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Chicago Cubs Preview
The Chicago Cubs have a 62-48 record this season and are sitting in the 2nd place of the NL Central. They have a 30-23 home record and are coming off a 0-2 home loss against the Yankees. They will face the Cardinals and the Dodgers next.
The Chicago Cubs have a .248 batting average this season, .339 OBP and .413 Slugging percentage. Chicago’s pitching staff has a 4.13 ERA and 1.26 WHIP. Pete Crow-Armstrong is the team’s best hitter with a .283 batting average, leading the team in RBI with 63 and adding a team-high 24 home runs.
David Peterson (L) is the projected starting pitcher for the Chicago Cubs, and he has a 6-7 record, 5.80 ERA and 1.52 WHIP.
New York Yankees Preview
The New York Yankees have a 62-48 record this season and are sitting in the 2nd place of the AL East. They have a 36-25 away record and are coming off a 2-0 road win against the Cubs. They will face the White Sox and the Cardinals next.
The New York Yankees have a .232 batting average this season, .311 OBP and .413 Slugging percentage. New York’s pitching staff has a 3.28 ERA and 1.18 WHIP. Ben Rice is the team’s best hitter with a .269 batting average, leading the team in RBI with 73 and adding a team-high 31 home runs.
Max Fried (L) is the projected starting pitcher for the New York Yankees, and he has a 4-3 record, 3.23 ERA and 1.02 WHIP.
New York Yankees @ the Chicago Cubs Betting Trends: August 1, 2026
- Probable Starting Pitcher: David Peterson Record this season: 6-7 ERA: 5.80
- Home Record: 2-4
- Last 5 against Yankees: 1-0
Why the Chicago Cubs will win
- The Cubs have won each of their last four games as underdogs following a loss.
- The Yankees have lost three of their last four games as favorites against NL Central opponents following a win.
- The Cubs have covered the run line in each of their last 10 games as underdogs.
- The Yankees have failed to cover the run line in each of their last three games following a win.
- The Cubs have led after 5 innings in each of their last five night games against AL East opponents.
- The Cubs have led after 3 innings in 11 of their last 13 home games against AL East opponents.
- The Yankees have lost the first inning in seven of their last eight Saturday games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Max Fried Record this season: 4-3 ERA: 3.23
- Road Record: 4-2
- Last 5 against Cubs: 4-1
Why the New York Yankees will win
- The Yankees have won seven of their last eight road games against the Cubs.
- The Cubs have lost four of their last five games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
- The road team has covered the run line in each of the Cubs’ last seven games.
- The Cubs have failed to cover the run line in six of their last seven games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
- The Yankees have led after 5 innings in eight of their last 10 night games against NL Central opponents.
- The Yankees have led after 3 innings in three of their last four night games against NL Central opponents.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the last four games between the Yankees and Cubs at Wrigley Field have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Each of the Yankees’ last four road games against NL Central opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Cubs’ last six night games at Wrigley Field.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in five of the Yankees’ last six games as road favorites.
Chicago Cubs Player Prop Facts
- Seiya Suzuki has hit a home run in each of the Cubs’ last two games as underdogs against AL opponents.
- David Peterson has recorded seven or more strikeouts in five of his last six home appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
- Ian Happ has recorded at least one hit in each of the Cubs’ last eight home games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
- David Peterson has recorded a win in each of his last three appearances in night games.
- Pete Crow-Armstrong ranks T6th in the league in Steals (26) this season.
New York Yankees Player Prop Facts
- Max Fried has recorded six or more strikeouts in six of his last seven road appearances against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
- Jasson Dominguez has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 16 appearances with the Yankees as favorites against NL opponents.
- Max Fried has recorded a win in each of his four previous road appearances against the Cubs.
- Spencer Jones has hit a home run in two of the Yankees’ last three games.
- Jazz Chisholm ranks T2nd in the league in Steals (30) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Cubs rank 1st in the league for walks this season (473).
- The Cubs rank 2nd in the league for on-base percentage this season (.339).
- The Yankees rank 1st in the league for ERA this season (3.28).
- The Yankees rank 1st in the league for home runs allowed this season (106).
Yankees vs Cubs Prediction
Both teams are tied 5-5 in their last 10 meetings and the Yankees are 3-1 in their last 4 visits in Chicago.
In this Yankees vs Cubs Prediction, the Yankees are coming as -125 road favorites. I like the Yankees in this one as they have a big pitching edge as Max Fried goes up against David Peterson. Fried has been much better on the road this season with a 4-2 record and 2.66 ERA, while Peterson has been horrible this season and sits on a 7.51 home ERA. The Yankees a superior bullpen to relief Max Fried and I expect them to get the job done on the road in this one.