In this article we will formulate a Yankees vs Marlins prediction for this MLB game on Saturday, April 4th at Yankee Stadium in Bronx, New York. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
New York Yankees Betting Preview
The New York Yankees are 6-1 this season after they won game one in this series against the Marlins by a score of 8-2 on Friday. New York allowed a run in the first inning, but they scored eight of the last nine runs in the game to pull away with the win. The Yankees recorded six hits and they were led by Judge and Rice, who both had three RBIs in the game. Warren allowed four hits and two earned runs over 5.2 innings for the win, while Hill and Bird each picked up a hold.
This season, New York has a 1.16 ERA with a 0.79 WHIP and a .168 opponent batting average, while they have scored 32 runs with a .225 batting average and a .311 on base percentage. Aaron Judge has led the Yankees with three home runs and six RBIs, while Ben Rice has added two home runs and eight RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Ryan Weathers, who is 0-0 with a 2.08 ERA and a 1.38 WHIP over 4.1 innings pitched this season.
Miami Marlins Betting Preview
The Miami Marlins are 5-2 this year after they dropped game one against the Yankees by a score of 8-2 on Friday. Miami led 1-0 in the first inning and they cut the deficit to 4-2 in the fifth, but they allowed the last four runs to seal the loss. The Marlins recorded four hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Edwards and Caissie, who both had one RBI. Perez allowed two hits and four earned runs for the loss, while Bachar allowed two earned runs in relief.
This season, Miami has a 2.83 ERA with a 0.83 WHIP and a .185 opponent batting average, while they have scored 33 runs with a .290 batting average and a .365 on base percentage. Liam Hicks has led the Marlins with three home runs and 12 RBIs, while Owen Caissie has added one home run and eight RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Miami is Max Meyer, who is 0-0 with a 5.40 ERA and a 1.40 WHIP over 5.0 innings pitched this year.
Why the New York Yankees will win
- The Yankees have won each of their last 10 games against National League opponents.
- The Marlins have lost 12 of their last 13 night games against AL East opponents following a road loss.
- The Yankees have covered the run line in each of their last nine games against National League opponents.
- The Yankees have won the first inning in five of their last six games as home favorites against NL East opponents.
- The Yankees have led after 3 innings in each of their last 10 games as home favorites against NL East opponents.
- The Yankees have led after 5 innings in each of their last six night games against National League opponents.
Why the Miami Marlins will win
- The Marlins have won six of their last eight games as underdogs against American League opponents.
- The Yankees have lost each of their last five Saturday games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
- The Marlins have covered the run line in eight of their last nine games against American League opponents following a loss.
- The Yankees have failed to cover the run line in six of their last seven games against the Marlins following a home win.
- The Yankees have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last five Saturday games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
Total Runs Facts
- Ten of the Yankees’ last 11 games as favorites against NL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Each of the Marlins’ last four games have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the last seven night games between the Marlins and Yankees.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Marlins’ last four night games against American League opponents.
New York Yankees Player Prop Facts
- Aaron Judge has hit a home run in four of the Yankees’ last five games against NL opponents.
- Cody Bellinger has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine home appearances against the Marlins.
Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts
- Xavier Edwards has recorded at least one hit in each of the Marlins’ last 10 games.
- Kyle Stowers has hit at least one home run in three of his last four appearances with the Marlins as underdogs against AL East opponents.
Yankees vs Marlins Prediction
New York was able to continue their hot start to the season with another win in game one and their pitching staff has been elite. The Yankees have allowed two runs or fewer in four of their last five games and they are starting Weathers, who pitched well in 4.1 innings in his first outing. Miami has won two of their last three games and they have scored 21 runs during that span. The Marlins are starting Meyer, who was decent in his first start, but faces a potentially great lineup here. Take the Yankees -1.5 here, as we can’t fade their pitching staff right now.