In this article we will formulate a Yankees vs Nationals prediction for this MLB game on Wednesday, August 27th at Yankee Stadium in New York. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
New York Yankees Betting Preview
The New York Yankees are 72-60 this year after they won the first two games in this series by scores of 10-5 and 5-1. In their game two win, New York trailed 1-0 early in the game, but answered with the final five runs to grab the victory. The Yankees recorded six hits in the game and they were led by Stanton, who went 2-3 with one home run and five RBIs in the win. New York started Gil, who allowed five hits and one earned run over 5.0 innings for the win, while Cruz and Hill picked up holds.
Prior to this series, the Yankees lost three out of four against the Red Sox, but did win both games against the Rays before that. New York has won three games in a row and they are currently third in the AL East standings. The New York pitching staff has a 4.00 ERA with a 1.27 WHIP and a .231 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 681 runs with a .250 batting average and a .330 on base percentage this season. Aaron Judge has led New York with 40 home runs and 93 RBIs, while Cody Bellinger has added 24 home runs and 78 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Max Fried, who is 13-5 with a 3.14 ERA and a 1.12 WHIP over 155.0 innings pitched this year.
Washington Nationals Betting Preview
The Washington Nationals are 53-79 this season after they lost game two by a score of 5-1 on Tuesday night. Washington jumped out to a lead in the third inning, but went scoreless over the last six innings for the loss. The Nationals recorded eight hits in the game and they were led by Abrams, who went 3-4 with one RBI in the loss. Washington started Gore, who allowed three hits and three earned runs over 5.0 innings for the loss, while Ribalta allowed two earned runs in relief.
Prior to this series, the Nationals lost two out of three against the Phillies, but did win two out of three against the Mets before that. Washington has lost four games in a row and they are currently last in the NL East standings. The Washington pitching staff has a 5.34 ERA with a 1.45 WHIP and a .270 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 563 runs with a .244 batting average and a .309 on base percentage this season. James Wood has led Washington with 26 home runs and 83 RBIs, while CJ Abrams has added 17 home runs and 52 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Washington is Cade Cavalli, who is 1-0 with a 2.82 ERA and a 1.34 WHIP over 22.1 innings pitched this season.
Why the Nationals will beat the Yankees
- The Nationals have won six of their last nine games as underdogs against the Yankees following a loss.
- The Yankees have lost four of their last six games as home favorites against NL East opponents following a home win.
- The Yankees have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five day games against NL East opponents following a home win.
- The Nationals have covered the run line in each of their last four day games following a loss.
- The Nationals have led after 3 innings in three of their last four road day games.
- The Nationals have led after 5 innings in three of their last four road day games.
Total Runs Facts
- Eight of the Yankees’ last nine games as favorites against NL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Each of the Nationals’ last five day games against AL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Yankees’ last eight Wednesday day games at Yankee Stadium.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in six of the Nationals’ last seven road games against American League opponents.
New York Yankees Player Prop Facts
- Jazz Chisholm has hit at least one home run in four of his last five appearances at Yankee Stadium against NL opponents that held a losing record.
- Paul Goldschmidt has recorded a Double in four of his last five home appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
- Max Fried has recorded a win in six of his last seven appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
- Jazz Chisholm has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 16 appearances against the Nationals after playing the previous day.
- Max Fried has recorded seven or more strikeouts in six of his last eight home appearances.
Washington Nationals Player Prop Facts
- CJ Abrams has hit at least one home run in three of the Nationals’ last eight road games against AL East opponents.
- Keibert Ruiz has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine road appearances against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
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Yankees vs Nationals Prediction
New York comes into this contest looking for their fourth win in a row and they have outscored their opponents by a total of 22-8 in those three wins. The Yankees are 40-28 at home this season, while the Nationals are 27-40 on the road. Washington has dropped four straight and they are starting Cavalli, who has allowed 3, 0, 4, and 0 earned runs in his last four outings. New York is starting Fried, who has allowed 0, 7, 4, and 4 earned runs in his last four starts. I think Washington has some value here, as Cavalli has been solid and Fried has had a few poor showings recently. Take the Nationals here.