In this article we will formulate a Yankees vs Orioles prediction for this MLB game on Monday, May 4th at Yankee Stadium in Bronx, New York. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
New York Yankees Betting Preview
The New York Yankees are 23-11 this season after they won the first three games in this series by scores of 7-2, 9-4, and 11-3. In game three, New York was tied at three in the fourth inning, but they scored the last eight runs for the blowout win. The Yankees recorded 15 hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Dominguez, who went 3-5 with one home run and three RBIs. Fried allowed six hits and three earned runs over 5.1 innings, while Cruz got the win and Headrick picked up a hold. Prior to this series, New York won two out of three against the Rangers and two out of three against the Astros.
This season, New York has a 3.01 ERA with a 1.12 WHIP and a .218 opponent batting average, while they have scored 180 runs with a .241 batting average and a .335 on base percentage. Aaron Judge has led the Yankees with 13 home runs and 23 RBIs, while Ben Rice has added 12 home runs and 27 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Cam Schlittler, who is 4-1 with a 1.51 ERA and a 0.74 WHIP over 41.2 innings pitched this season.
Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview
The Baltimore Orioles are 15-19 this year after they lost game three by a score of 11-3 on Sunday afternoon. Baltimore scored two runs in the fourth to tie the game, but their offense dried up after that for the loss. The Orioles recorded nine hits and they committed one error, while they were led by Alexander and Taveras, who both had one RBI in the game. Gibson allowed four hits and three earned runs over 4.2 innings, while Wolfram picked up the loss and Kittredge allowed seven earned runs in relief. Prior to this series, Baltimore won two out of three against the Astros, but lost two out of three against the Red Sox before that.
This season, Baltimore has a 4.76 ERA with a 1.48 WHIP and a .273 opponent batting average, while they have scored 154 runs with a .232 batting average and a .317 on base percentage. Gunnar Henderson has led the Orioles with nine home runs and 19 RBIs, while Jeremiah Jackson has added six home runs and 24 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Baltimore is Shane Baz, who is 1-2 with a 4.50 ERA and a 1.50 WHIP over 34.0 innings pitched this year.
Why the New York Yankees will win
- The Yankees have won each of their last 10 night games against American League opponents.
- The Orioles have lost each of their last nine road games against AL East opponents.
- The Yankees have covered the run line in each of their last six home games.
- The Orioles have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Yankees have won the first inning in six of their last seven home games against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
- The Yankees have led after 5 innings in eight of their last nine night games.
- The Orioles have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last seven games as underdogs against AL East opponents.
Why the Baltimore Orioles will win
- The Orioles have won 12 of their last 13 night games against AL East opponents following a road loss.
- The Yankees have lost seven of their last eight Monday games as home favorites against AL East opponents.
- The Orioles have covered the run line in each of their last 13 night games against AL East opponents following a road loss.
- The Yankees have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight night games against the Orioles at Yankee Stadium following a win.
- The Orioles have led after 3 innings in three of their last four night games.
Total Runs Facts
- Eight of the Orioles’ last nine games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Seven of the Yankees’ last nine night games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Orioles’ last six night games against AL East opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in eight of the last nine games between the Orioles and Yankees at Yankee Stadium.
New York Yankees Player Prop Facts
- Giancarlo Stanton has hit at least one home run in three of his last four home appearances against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
- Cody Bellinger has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine home appearances.
- Aaron Judge ranks T1st in the league in Home Runs (13) this season.
Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts
- Pete Alonso has hit a home run in three of the Orioles’ last four road games.
- Adley Rutschman has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine Monday appearances against AL teams that held a winning record.
- Taylor Ward ranks 6th amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.423) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Yankees rank 1st in the league for home runs this season (56).
- The Yankees rank 1st in the league for ERA this season (3.01).
- The Orioles rank 29th in the league for opponent batting average this season (.273).
- The Orioles rank 29th in the league for hits allowed this season (323).
Yankees vs Orioles Prediction
New York comes into this matchup looking to complete the four game sweep and they have scored 27 runs in the first three games. The Yankees are 11-5 at home this year, while the Orioles are 6-10 on the road. Baltimore has dropped four in a row and they have allowed 38 runs during that span. The O’s are starting Baz, who has allowed four earned runs in two of his last three starts, while the Yankees are going with Schlittler, who has allowed one earned run in his last 22.0 innings. Take New York -1.5 once again in this one.