Yankees vs Orioles Prediction 6/20/25 MLB Picks Today

The Baltimore Orioles and the New York Yankees meet Friday in MLB action from Yankee Stadium. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Yankees vs Orioles Prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Baltimore Orioles will send out Tomoyuki Sugano for the start here, and Sugano is 5-4 with a 3.38 ERA and 46 strikeouts this season. This will be Sugano’s second career start against the Yankees. The New York Yankees will send out Max Fried for the start here and is 9-2 with a 1.89 ERA and 90 strikeouts this season. In his career, Fried is 1-2 with a 4.05 ERA and 14 strikeouts against Baltimore.

Baltimore Orioles Recap

The Baltimore Orioles come into this game looking to build on their 4-1 win over the Tampa Bay Rays from Thursday’s matchup to sit at 32-42 on the year. After this series, the Orioles will head home for a series against the Texas Rangers.

Orioles Earn Series Split Vs. Rays

Cedric Mullins has 48 hits so far this season, as well as 11 doubles, 12 home runs, and 35 RBIs with 8 stolen bases and a .225 batting average, while Adley Rutschman has 55 hits with 9 doubles, 8 homers, and 20 RBIs. Jackson Holliday has 65 hits with 11 doubles, 2 triples, 8 homers, and 28 RBIs. Ryan Mountcastle has 46 hits with 13 doubles, 2 homers, and 15 RBIs, and Gunnar Henderson has a team-high 71 strikeouts as well this season. Ryan O’Hearn also chipped in 65 hits with 9 doubles and 10 home runs with 28 RBIs, and Heston Kjerstad added 4 homers and 19 RBIs.

Why the Baltimore Orioles will win

• The Yankees have lost each of their last nine night games against the Orioles following a win.
• The underdogs have won five of the Yankees’ last six games.
• The Yankees have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six night games against the Orioles at Yankee Stadium following a win.
• The underdogs have covered the run line in seven of the Yankees’ last eight games.

Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts

• Colton Cowser has hit a home run in four of his last five road appearances after playing the previous day.
• Gary Sanchez has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances with his team as an underdog against the Yankees.
• Dylan Carlson has recorded an RBI in five of his last six appearances with his team as an underdog against AL East opponents.
• Ryan Mountcastle has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 appearances at Yankee Stadium against opponents that held a winning record.
• Gary Sanchez has scored a run in each of his last four appearances in night games against AL East teams that held a winning record.

New York Yankees Recap

The New York Yankees come into this game looking to build on their 7-3 win over the Angels from Thursday’s matchup to sit at 43-31 on the year. After this series, the Yankees will head on the road for a game against the Cincinnati Reds.

Yankees Snap Six-Game Losing Skid

Aaron Judge leads the Yankees with 101 hits, including 26 home runs, 60 RBIs, 18 doubles, and a .366 batting average, along with 6 stolen bases. Anthony Volpe also had 20 doubles with 8 stolen bases, 8 home runs, and 40 RBIs, while Jasson Dominguez has added 11 doubles of his own. Paul Goldschmidt has 82 hits with 15 doubles and a .303 batting average, while Volpe also has 73 strikeouts so far this season. Ben Rice also has 49 hits with 11 doubles, 12 home runs, and 26 RBIs, while Cody Bellinger has 10 homers with 38 RBIs, and Austin Wells has 11 home runs and 44 RBIs, with Bellinger logging 12 doubles and Wells chipping in 12 doubles. Trent Grisham also has 14 home runs and 30 RBIs so far this season.

Why the New York Yankees will win

• The Orioles have lost each of their last six night games against AL East opponents following a win.
• The favorites have won eight of the Orioles’ last nine games.
• The Orioles have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six night games against AL East opponents following a win.
• The favorites have covered the run line in four of the Orioles’ last five games.

New York Yankees Player Prop Facts

• Aaron Judge has hit a home run in each of the Yankees’ last four home games against the Orioles.
• Max Fried has recorded a win in each of his six previous appearances against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
• Aaron Judge has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Yankees’ last six games against the Orioles.
• Max Fried has recorded seven or more strikeouts in each of his last three home appearances.
• Aaron Judge has scored at least one run in each of his last six home appearances against the Orioles.
• Bryan De La Cruz has recorded at least one hit in each of his last seven home appearances.
• Aaron Judge ranks T1st in the league in Hits (101) this season.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Yankees’ last eight games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Five of the Orioles’ last six night games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.

Yankees vs Orioles Prediction

I’m on the under in this one. I get the case to be made for either side in this game with a quality starter on both sides, as Sugano stifled the Yankees earlier this year. Fried has been one of the best starters in the American League so far this season. I just think this is going to end up being a lower-scoring game, so I’m rocking with the under in this one.