MLB Picks

Yankees vs Orioles Prediction 6/22/25 MLB Picks Today

Baltimore Orioles (33-43) vs. NY Yankees (44-32)
June 22, 2025 11:35 am EDT
The Line: NY Yankees -193 / Baltimore Orioles 157; Over/Under: 9.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Baltimore Orioles and New York Yankees meet Sunday in MLB action at Yankee Stadium. Here’s a Yankees vs Orioles Prediction. This article will include a Yankees vs Orioles Pick.

Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview

The Baltimore Orioles are 33-43 on the year and play the Rangers, Rays, and Rangers next. The Baltimore Orioles are batting .239 on the season, have a .305 OBP, and a .393 slugging percentage. The Baltimore Orioles pitching staff has a 4.94 ERA and a 1.44 WHIP. Gunnar Henderson leads the Baltimore Orioles with 75 hits and 23 RBI, while Jackson Holliday and Ryan O’Hearn have combined for 134 hits and 56 RBI.

Dean Kremer gets the ball for the Baltimore Orioles, and he is 6-7 with a 4.80 ERA and 65 strikeouts this season. Kremer is 4-3 with a 4.40 ERA and 65 strikeouts in his career against the New York Yankees.

New York Yankees Betting Preview

The New York Yankees are 44-32 on the year and play the Reds, Athletics, and Blue Jays next. The New York Yankees are batting .255 on the season, have a .338 OBP, and a .453 slugging percentage. The New York Yankees pitching staff has a 3.50 ERA and a 1.18 WHIP. Aaron Judge leads the New York Yankees with 104 hits and 61 RBI while Paul Goldschmidt and Cody Bellinger have combined for 149 hits and 70 RBI.

Will Warren gets the ball for the New York Yankees, and he is 4-4 with a 4.83 ERA and 90 strikeouts this season. This will be Warren’s second career game against the Baltimore Orioles.

Why the New York Yankees will win

  • The Orioles have lost eight of their last nine day games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Yankees have won each of their last four day games against teams that held a losing record.
  • The Orioles have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine day games against American League opponents following a loss.
  • The Yankees have covered the run line in three of their last four day games against teams that held a losing record.
  • The Yankees have won the first inning in four of their last five day games against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Yankees have led after 3 innings in four of their last five games at Yankee Stadium against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Yankees have led after 5 innings in seven of their last eight day games against opponents that held a losing record.

Why the Baltimore Orioles will win

  • The Orioles have won each of their last seven games as underdogs against AL East opponents following a loss.
  • The Yankees have lost each of their last seven games as favorites against the Orioles following a win.
  • The Orioles have covered the run line in each of their last 12 games as underdogs against AL East opponents following a road loss.
  • The Yankees have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight day games following a win.
  • The Orioles have led after 5 innings in four of their last five day games against AL East opponents.

New York Yankees Player Prop Facts

  • Aaron Judge has hit a home run in five of the Yankees’ last six home games against the Orioles.
  • Paul Goldschmidt has recorded at least one hit in each of the Yankees’ last 10 Sunday day games.
  • Aaron Judge has scored at least one run in each of his last eight Sunday appearances at Yankee Stadium.
  • Aaron Judge has recorded at least one RBI in seven of the Yankees’ last eight games against the Orioles.
  • Aaron Judge ranks 1st in the league in Hits (104) this season.

Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts

  • Colton Cowser has hit a home run in three of the Orioles’ last five games against AL East opponents.
  • Dean Kremer has recorded five or more strikeouts in three of his four previous appearances at Yankee Stadium.
  • Ryan Mountcastle has recorded an RBI in four of his last five appearances with the Orioles as underdogs against AL opponents.
  • Ryan Mountcastle has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 appearances at Yankee Stadium against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Dean Kremer has recorded a win in each of his last four appearances against AL East opponents.
  • Ryan Mountcastle has recorded at least one Double in three of his last four appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Cedric Mullins has scored at least one run in five of his last six road appearances against the Yankees after playing the previous day.

Yankees vs Orioles Prediction

I’m not thrilled to get behind Warren, but it’s the Yankees at home, and they’ve found their offense in this series. That should continue when you see Kremer and his 4.80 ERA and 1.36 WHIP. Kremer has allowed 17 hits and 10 runs in his last 17.1 innings. To make matters worse, in 53.1 road innings, Kremer has a 5.91 ERA and .307 allowed batting average. The Yankees should put up a strong crooked number, so they should be in good shape regardless of what Warren does. Give me the Yankees and the RL for max betting value.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: NY Yankees -1.5

Need More? Get Premium Picks

Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

Related Articles

Back to top button