In this article we will formulate a Yankees vs Padres prediction for this MLB game on Monday, May 5th at Yankee Stadium in New York. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
New York Yankees Betting Preview
The New York Yankees are 19-15 this season after they lost two out of three against the Rays by scores of 3-0, 2-3, and 5-7. In their game three loss, the Yankees trailed 5-0 in the fourth inning, but they did score five late runs, before falling short in the comeback attempt. New York recorded eight hits and they committed two errors in the game, while they were led by Bellinger and Vivas, who both had two RBIs in the loss. New York started Warren, who allowed seven hits and three earned runs over 4.2 innings for the loss, while Carrasco allowed five hits and two earned runs over the final three innings.
Prior to that series, the Yankees lost two out of three against the Orioles, but did win two out of three against the Blue Jays before that. New York has lost three of their last four games and they are currently first in the AL East standings. The New York pitching staff has a 3.62 ERA with a 1.20 WHIP and a .205 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 187 runs with a .262 batting average and a .346 on base percentage this season. Aaron Judge has led New York with 11 home runs and 33 RBIs, while Trent Grisham has added eight home runs and 15 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Carlos Rodon, who is 4-3 with a 3.43 ERA and a 0.98 WHIP over 42.0 innings pitched this season.
San Diego Padres Betting Preview
The San Diego Padres are 22-11 this year after they won all three games against the Pirates by scores of 9-4, 2-1, and 4-0. In their game three win, San Diego scored four runs in the first two innings and they were able to cruise the rest of the way for the win. The Padres recorded 10 hits in the game and they were led by Bogaerts, who went 2-4 with three RBIs in the win. San Diego started Kolek, who allowed just four hits over 5.1 innings for the win, while four relievers combined for 3.2 scoreless innings to complete the shutout.
Prior to that series, the Padres won both games against the Giants, but did lose all three against the Rays before that. San Diego has won five games in a row and they are currently second in the NL West standings. The San Diego pitching staff has a 2.75 ERA with a 1.14 WHIP and a .211 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 133 runs with a .260 batting average and a .329 on base percentage this season. Fernando Tatis has led San Diego with eight home runs and 18 RBIs, while Gavin Sheets has added four home runs and 14 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for San Diego is Nick Pivetta, who is 5-1 with a 1.78 ERA and a 0.82 WHIP over 35.1 innings pitched this year.
Why the Yankees will beat the Padres
- The Padres have lost seven of their last eight road games against American League opponents following a win.
- The Yankees have won five of their last six games against NL West opponents following a home loss.
- The Padres have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight road games against American League opponents following a win.
- The Yankees have covered the run line in eight of their last nine games following a loss.
- The Yankees have won the first inning in four of their last five games against opponents that held a winning record.
- The Padres have trailed after 3 innings in five of their last six night games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
- The Padres have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last four games against American League opponents.
Why the Padres will beat the Yankees
- The Padres have won each of their last five games.
- The Yankees have lost three of their last four games as favorites against National League opponents.
- The Padres have covered the run line in each of their last five games.
- The Yankees have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last 10 night games against National League opponents.
- The Padres have led after 5 innings in four of their last five games.
- The Padres have led after 3 innings in seven of their last eight Monday games.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Yankees’ last seven games as favorites against National League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Seven of the Padres’ last eight games against American League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Yankees’ last 12 games as home favorites against National League opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Padres’ last four games against AL East opponents.
New York Yankees Player Prop Facts
- Aaron Judge has recorded a Double in three of the Yankees’ last four games against opponents that held a winning record.
- Aaron Judge has hit a home run in three of the Yankees’ last four games against the Padres.
- Paul Goldschmidt has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last four appearances against the Padres.
- Aaron Judge has scored at least one run in 15 of his last 16 home appearances after playing the previous day.
- Aaron Judge has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 20 home appearances after playing the previous day.
- Carlos Rodon has recorded a win in each of his last three appearances.
- Carlos Rodon has recorded seven or more strikeouts in each of his last five appearances.
- DJ LeMahieu has recorded at least one Single in each of his last six appearances with the Yankees as favorites against NL West opponents.
- Aaron Judge ranks 1st in the league in Hits (55) this season.
San Diego Padres Player Prop Facts
- Xander Bogaerts has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last five appearances against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
- Jackson Merrill has recorded a Double in four of the Padres’ last five games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
- Luis Arraez has recorded at least one Single in each of his last 10 appearances against AL East opponents.
- Xander Bogaerts has scored a run in each of his last four appearances against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
- Nick Pivetta has recorded a win in each of his last four appearances.
- Jackson Merrill has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances with the Padres against AL opponents.
- Luis Arraez has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 15 road appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
- Nick Pivetta has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last eight appearances in night games.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Yankees rank 1st in the league for home runs this season (57).
- The Yankees rank 1st in the league for slugging percentage this season (.470).
- The Padres rank 1st in the league for strikeouts against this season (226).
- The Padres rank 1st in the league for ERA this season (2.75).
Yankees vs Padres Prediction
Both of these teams come into this series with very solid records to start the season, but New York will be at home, where they are 11-7 so far this year. The Yankees have struggled in their last two series, but they will go with Rodon, who has allowed a total of two earned runs in his last three starts. San Diego has won five games in a row and they will start Pivetta, who has allowed one earned run or fewer in three of his last four starts. I like what I am seeing from both of these pitchers and I think runs could be at a premium here. Take the under.