In this article we will formulate a Yankees vs Rays prediction for this MLB game on Tuesday, September 22nd at Yankee Stadium in Bronx, New York. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
New York Yankees Betting Preview
The New York Yankees are 89-66 this season after they lost two out of three against the Cardinals by scores of 9-2, 3-5, and 4-8. In game three, New York led 4-1 in the third inning, but went scoreless over the last six innings for the loss. The Yankees recorded eight hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Lombard Jr, who went 2-4 with one home run and two RBIs. Warren allowed six hits and four earned runs over 4.1 innings, while Headrick picked up the loss in relief. Prior to that series, New York won two out of three against the Twins and two out of three against the Mets.
This season, New York has a 3.22 ERA with a 1.17 WHIP and a .223 opponent batting average, while they have scored 713 runs with a .235 batting average and a .311 on base percentage. Ben Rice has led the Yankees with 39 home runs and 95 RBIs, while Cody Bellinger has added 16 home runs and 71 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for New York in game one is Carlos Rodon, who is 6-3 with a 2.95 ERA and a 1.13 WHIP over 76.1 innings pitched. The projected starter for game two is Max Fried, who is 5-4 with a 2.63 ERA and a 0.98 WHIP over 106.0 innings pitched this season.
Tampa Bay Rays Betting Preview
The Tampa Bay Rays are 95-60 this year after they won two out of three against the Red Sox by scores of 2-4, 2-1, and 5-1. In game three, Tampa Bay scored five runs in the first four innings and cruised to the easy win. The Rays recorded four hits in the game and they were led by Simpson, who went 1-3 with two RBIs. Jax allowed three hits and zero earned runs over 5.0 innings for the win, while Johnson allowed one earned run in relief. Prior to that series, Tampa Bay swept the Athletics in three games and swept the Astros in three games.
This season, Tampa Bay has a 3.70 ERA with a 1.13 WHIP and a .229 opponent batting average, while they have scored 707 runs with a .259 batting average and a .328 on base percentage. Jonathan Aranda has led the Rays with 22 home runs and 92 RBIs, while Junior Caminero has added 41 home runs and 97 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Tampa Bay in game one is Nick Martinez, who is 15-4 with a 2.94 ERA and a 1.07 WHIP over 171.1 innings pitched. The projected starter for game two is Drew Rasmussen, who is 15-5 with a 2.72 ERA and a 0.93 WHIP over 165.1 innings pitched this year.
Why the New York Yankees will win
- The Yankees have won each of their last 11 home games following a loss.
- The Rays have lost eight of their last nine road games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
- The Yankees have covered the run line in seven of their last eight home games.
- The Rays have failed to cover the run line in 12 of their last 14 games against AL East opponents.
- The Yankees have won the first inning in three of their last four home games.
- The Yankees have led after 3 innings in six of their last seven games as favorites against AL East opponents.
- The Rays have trailed after 5 innings in eight of their last nine road games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
Why the Tampa Bay Rays will win
- The Rays have won each of their last eight games as underdogs following a home win.
- The Yankees have lost four of their last six games as favorites against the Rays following a loss.
- The Rays have covered the run line in each of their last eight games as underdogs following a home win.
- The Yankees have failed to cover the run line in each of their last three games on the first leg of a doubleheader.
- The Rays have led after 3 innings in four of their last five road games.
- The Rays have led after 5 innings in five of their last six games as underdogs.
- The Yankees have lost the first inning in four of their last five day games.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Yankees’ last eight games against AL opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Each of the Rays’ last five games against AL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Yankees’ last five day games.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in five of the Rays’ last six road games against AL opponents.
New York Yankees Player Prop Facts
- Ben Rice has hit at least one home run in three of the Yankees’ last four games against the Rays.
- Carlos Rodon has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last seven appearances against the Rays.
- Heliot Ramos has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances in day games against AL East teams that held a winning record.
- Carlos Rodon has recorded a win in each of his last three appearances against the Rays.
- Luis Garcia ranks 3rd amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.532) this season.
Tampa Bay Rays Player Prop Facts
- Nick Martinez has recorded four or more strikeouts in four of his last five road appearances.
- Junior Caminero has recorded at least one hit in each of the Rays’ last 14 games as road underdogs against AL East opponents.
- Nick Martinez has recorded a win in each of his last four road appearances against AL opponents.
- Richie Palacios has hit a home run in three of his last four road appearances.
- Chandler Simpson ranks T1st in the league in Steals (46) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Yankees rank 1st in the league for ERA this season (3.22).
- The Yankees rank 1st in the league for runs allowed this season (576).
- The Rays rank 1st in the league for batting average this season (.259).
- The Rays rank 1st in the league for strikeouts against this season (1085).
Yankees vs Rays Prediction
Tampa Bay comes into this matchup after winning four of their last five games and they have allowed one run in three of their last four. The Rays are 40-34 on the road this year, while the Yankees are 42-32 at home. New York has lost three of their last four and they allowed 15 runs in their last series. In game one, I think the Yankees have the edge against Martinez, but I like the Rays to win game two behind Rasmussen.