In this article we will formulate a Yankees vs Red Sox prediction for this MLB game on Friday, August 22nd at Yankee Stadium in New York. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
New York Yankees Betting Preview
The New York Yankees are 69-58 this year after they lost game one by a score of 6-3 on Thursday night. New York led 3-2 in the fifth inning, but failed to score anymore runs for the loss. The Yankees recorded eight hits and they committed four errors in the game, while they were led by Rice, Chisholm Jr., and Goldschmidt, who all had one RBI in the loss. NY started Gil, who allowed four hits and one earned run over 5.0 innings, while Weaver picked up the loss in relief.
Prior to this series, the Yankees won both games against the Rays and all three against the Cardinals. New York has won five of their last six games and they are currently second in the AL East standings. The New York pitching staff has a 3.99 ERA with a 1.26 WHIP and a .229 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 658 runs with a .251 batting average and a .331 on base percentage this season. Aaron Judge has led New York with 40 home runs and 92 RBIs, while Cody Bellinger has added 24 home runs and 75 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Max Fried, who is 13-5 with a 3.26 ERA and a 1.12 WHIP over 149.0 innings pitched this year.
Boston Red Sox Betting Preview
The Boston Red Sox are 69-59 this season after they won game one to start this series on Thursday. Boston led 1-0 in the second inning, but they trailed 3-2 in the fifth, before scoring the last four runs to escape with the huge win. The Red Sox recorded 10 hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Anthony, who went 2-5 with one home run and three RBIs in the win. Boston started Giolito, who allowed five hits and three earned runs over 4.2 innings, while Weissert got the win and Chapman picked up another save.
Prior to this series, the Red Sox lost both games against the Orioles, but did win two out of three against the Marlins before that. Boston has lost three of their last four games and they are third in the AL East standings. The Boston pitching staff has a 3.74 ERA with a 1.30 WHIP and a .245 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 638 runs with a .252 batting average and a .324 on base percentage this season. Wilyer Abreu has led Boston with 22 home runs and 69 RBIs, while Trevor Story has added 19 home runs and 79 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Boston is Brayan Bello, who is 9-6 with a 3.23 ERA and a 1.26 WHIP over 128.0 innings pitched this season.
Why the Red Sox will beat the Yankees
- The Red Sox have won each of their last five games as underdogs against the Yankees.
- The Yankees have lost four of their last five games as favorites against the Red Sox following a loss.
- The underdogs have covered the run line in each of the last six games between the Red Sox and Yankees.
- The Yankees have failed to cover the run line each of their last four night games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Red Sox have won the first inning in three of their last four games as underdogs against AL East opponents.
- The Red Sox have led after 5 innings in three of their last four games against the Yankees.
- The Red Sox have led after 3 innings in three of their last four games as underdogs against AL East opponents.
Total Runs Facts
- Eight of the Red Sox’s last nine road games have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Each of the Yankees’ last five games have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Red Sox’s last five games against AL East opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in four of the Yankees’ last five night games.
New York Yankees Player Prop Facts
- Max Fried has recorded seven or more strikeouts in six of his last eight home appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
- Max Fried has recorded a win in five of his last six home appearances against AL East opponents.
- Cody Bellinger has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 13 appearances against AL East opponents.
- Aaron Judge has hit a home run in five of his last six appearances at Yankee Stadium against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
- Max Fried ranks T2nd in the league for Wins (13) this season.
Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts
- Jarren Duran has recorded at least one hit in each of the Red Sox’s last 10 road games against AL East opponents.
- Triston Casas has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances in night games against AL teams that held a winning record.
- Alex Bregman has recorded at least one Double in three of his last four appearances with the Red Sox as underdogs against AL East opponents.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Yankees rank 1st in the league for home runs this season (209).
- The Yankees rank 1st in the league for slugging percentage this season (.454).
- The Red Sox rank 1st in the league for doubles this season (257).
- The Red Sox rank 4th in the league for runs scored this season (632).
Yankees vs Red Sox Prediction
New York couldn’t hold onto the lead on Thursday night in game one, so Boston is just a half game behind in the AL East standings now. The Yankees are 37-26 at home this year, while the Red Sox are 28-34 on the road. Boston has struggled recently, so that win in game one was massive for them. Boston is starting Bello, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of his last four. New York is going with Fried, who has allowed 7, 4, and 4 earned runs in his last three starts. I don’t like how Fried has looked, so take Boston and the plus money.