In this article we will formulate a Yankees vs Twins prediction for this MLB game on Friday, July 3rd at Yankee Stadium in Bronx, New York. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
New York Yankees Betting Preview
The New York Yankees are 48-38 this season after they lost all three games against the Tigers by scores of 3-7, 3-9, and 2-6. In game three, New York erased a 2-0 deficit in the ninth inning, but couldn’t score in the 10th or 11th for the loss. The Yankees recorded seven hits and they committed two errors in the game, while they were led by Rosario, who went 1-5 with one home run and one RBI. Warren allowed five hits and two earned runs over 5.1 innings, while Doval picked up the loss. Prior to that series, New York lost all four against the Red Sox, but did win two out of three against the Tigers before that.
This season, New York has a 3.36 ERA with a 1.19 WHIP and a .227 opponent batting average, while they have scored 417 runs with a .236 batting average and a .319 on base percentage. Ben Rice has led the Yankees with 23 home runs and 54 RBIs, while Cody Bellinger has added 11 home runs and 49 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Gerrit Cole, who is 2-3 with a 4.06 ERA and a 1.22 WHIP over 37.2 innings pitched this season.
Minnesota Twins Betting Preview
The Minnesota Twins are 42-46 this year after they won two out of three against the Astros by scores of 5-4, 4-6, and 8-3. In game three, Minnesota scored two runs in the first inning and three more in the second, which put the game out of reach for the win. The Twins recorded eight hits and they committed two errors in the game, while they were led by Clemens, who went 1-5 with one home run and three RBIs. Bradley allowed four hits and one earned run over 5.0 innings for the win, while Morris picked up a hold. Prior to that series, Minnesota won two out of three against the Rockies, but lost all three against the Dodgers before that.
This season, Minnesota has a 4.82 ERA with a 1.40 WHIP and a .255 opponent batting average, while they have scored 429 runs with a .246 batting average and a .321 on base percentage. Byron Buxton has led the Twins with 25 home runs and 43 RBIs, while Josh Bell has added 11 home runs and 56 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Minnesota is Mike Paredes, who is 0-1 with a 4.26 ERA and a 1.26 WHIP over 25.1 innings pitched this year.
Why the New York Yankees will win
- The Yankees have won 10 of their last 11 home games against the Twins following a loss.
- The Twins have lost seven of their last eight games at Yankee Stadium.
- The Yankees have covered the run line in seven of their last eight home games against the Twins.
- The Twins have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games against the Yankees following a road win.
- The Twins have lost the first inning in each of their last three night games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
- The Twins have trailed after 5 innings in eight of their last nine games at Yankee Stadium.
- The Twins have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last nine games at Yankee Stadium.
Why the Minnesota Twins will win
- The Yankees have lost seven of their last eight games as favorites.
- The Twins have won each of their last five games as underdogs against AL East opponents following a road win.
- The Yankees have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight games as favorites.
- The underdogs have covered the run line in each of the Twins’ last seven games.
- The Twins have won the first inning in five of their last six games against American League opponents.
- The Yankees have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last eight games as favorites.
- The Yankees have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last four games as favorites against AL Central opponents.
Total Runs Facts
- Nine of the Yankees’ last 10 home games following an extra innings loss have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Twelve of the Twins’ last 15 road games have gone OVER the total runs line.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Twins’ last five games against AL East opponents.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in five of the Yankees’ last six night games.
New York Yankees Player Prop Facts
- Gerrit Cole has recorded a win in six of his last seven appearances in night games against AL teams that held a losing record.
- Gerrit Cole has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last 14 home appearances against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
- Anthony Volpe has recorded at least one hit in each of his 17 previous appearances against the Twins.
- Amed Rosario has hit a home run in each of his last three appearances with the Yankees as favorites against AL Central opponents.
- Jazz Chisholm ranks 3rd in the league in Steals (26) this season.
Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts
- Josh Bell has hit a home run in three of the Twins’ last four games as underdogs against AL opponents.
- Josh Bell has recorded at least one hit in each of the Twins’ last 16 road games.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Yankees rank 1st in the league for home runs this season (124).
- The Yankees rank 1st in the league for ERA this season (3.36).
- The Twins rank 28th in the league for runs allowed this season (455).
- The Twins rank 27th in the league for ERA this season (4.82).
Yankees vs Twins Prediction
New York comes into this matchup on a lengthy losing streak and they have allowed 27 runs in their last four games. The Yankees are 22-18 at home this year, while the Twins are 20-23 on the road. Minnesota has won three of their last four games and they have scored 5+ runs in three of their last five. The Twins are starting Paredes, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of his last four starts, while Cole has allowed nine earned runs and 16 hits in his last 9.2 innings. I think Cole is due for a bounce back, so I like the Yankees -1.5 here.