Derek Brunson vs. Sam Alvey MMA Pick, Preview, Odds, Prediction - 8/8/15
Sam Alvey (25-6) vs. Derek Brunson (13-3)
MMA: Saturday, August 8, 2015 at 10:00 pm (Nashville)
The Line: -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
TV: FOX Sports 1
Derek Brunson and Sam Alvey fight Saturday night in Nashville at UFC Fight Night.
Derek Brunson enters this fight with a 13-3 record and is winning 46 percent of his fights by knockout. Brunson has won four of his last five fights and is coming off a January win over Ed Herman. Brunson is averaging 2.36 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy percentage of 42.6 percent. Brunson is averaging 3.97 takedowns with an accuracy percentage of 41 percent. Brunson is capable of landing kicks and a nasty left hand, but he’s more of a wrestler than anything and wants his fight on the canvas. Brunson has lost two of his three fights when he wasn’t able to get his opponent on the ground. Also, while Brunson is an aggressive grappler, he’s defending 100 percent of his takedowns. This will be Brunson’s first fight in Tennessee.
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Sam Alvey enters this fight with a 25-6 record and is winning 64 percent of his fights by knockout. Alvey has won seven of his last eight fights and is coming off a May win over Dan Kelly. Alvey is averaging 4.62 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy percentage of 51 percent. Alvey is averaging zero takedowns with an accuracy percentage of zero percent. Alvey is an aggressive fighter who looks to land haymakers whenever he can and goes for the knockout early and often. In fact, all of Alvey’s last three fights ended in the first round due to punches. The downside with Alvey is that he’s not a great defender and really struggles once he’s taken down. Alvey needs a fight standing up in order to have a shot. This will be the first time Alvey fights in Tennessee.
If Alvey can manage to stay on his feet, he gives himself a punchers chance to pull off the upset. The problem is that Brunson won’t let that happen, as he’s an experienced fighter and is averaging nearly four takedowns a match. This fight doesn’t favor Alvey at all.
I like Brunson to win his third fight in a row.