Olivier Aubin-Mercier vs. Tony Sims MMA Pick, Preview, Odds, Prediction - 8/23/15
Tony Sims (12-2) vs. Olivier Aubin-Mercier (6-1)
MMA: Sunday, August 23, 2015 at 10:00 pm (SaskTel Centre)
The Line: Sims +190 / Aubin-Mercier -230 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
TV: FOX Sports 1
Olivier Aubin-Mercier and Tony Sims fight Sunday at the SaskTel Centre during UFC Fight Night.
Olivier Aubin-Mercier enters this fight with a 6-1 record and has won 86 percent of his fights by submission. Aubin-Mercier has won his last two fights and is coming off an April win over David Michaud. Aubin-Mercier is averaging 3.58 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy percentage of 50 percent. Aubin-Mercier is averaging three takedowns with an accuracy percentage of 24.1 percent. Aubin-Mercier is a young, skilled and athletic fighter with solid striking ability and the willingness to fight on the canvas. Aubin-Mercier has also shown the ability to bounce back quickly, as he’s looked sharp since losing to Chad Laprise. It’s really just a matter of more experience that will help Aubin-Mercier get to where he would like to go. Aubin-Mercier has fought his whole career in Canada, his home country.
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Tony Sims enters this fight with a 12-2 record and has won 83 percent of his fights by knockout. Sims has won his last four fights and is coming off a June win over Steve Montgomery. Sims is averaging 3.68 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy percentage of 52.6 percent. Sims is averaging zero takedowns with a takedown percentage of zero percent. Sims has the potential to really make his mark in UFC, as he has a crisp striking game that includes serious knockout power. Sims usually always has the advantage on his feet and can end a fight rather quickly once he gets going. The questions with Sims are the lack of experience obviously, and a question of his stamina given that only one of his fights have gone the distance, which was a fight he lost.
This should be a fun fight between two younger guys who are looking to climb up the UFC totem pole. Sims should be considered the underdog given his lack of overall experience and the fact Aubin-Mercier is fighting in his own backyard. However, Sims could make this interesting if he’s able to stay on his feet and land some punches.
Overall, the safe pick would be with Aubin-Mercier, but I’m going to take a chance on Sims simply due to there being value with the current betting line.