Andrei Arlovski vs. Frank Mir MMA Pick, Preview, Odds, Prediction - 9/5/15
Frank Mir (18-9) vs. Andrei Arlovski (24-10)
MMA: Sunday, September 5, 2015 at 10:00 pm (MGM Grand Garden Arena)
The Line: Mir +145 / Arlovski -165 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
Andrei Arlovski and Frank Mir fight Saturday night at the MGM Grand Garden Arena.
Andrei Arlovski enters this fight with a 24-10 record and is winning 71 percent of his fights by knockout. Arlovski has won his last five fights and is coming off a May win over Travis Browne. Arlovski is averaging 3.19 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy percentage of 39.9 percent. Arlovski is averaging 0.38 takedowns with an accuracy percentage of 40 percent. It’s no secret that Arlovski wants to fight standing up, as six of his last nine wins have come by knockout and it doesn’t take long for his heavy hands to do damage. However, Arlovski is also decent on the canvas as well and has never lost by submission. The concern is Arlovski is 36 years old and does start to fade the longer a bout goes. This will be Arlovski’s sixth fight in Las Vegas.
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Frank Mir enters this fight with a 18-9 record and is winning 50 percent of his fights by submission. Mir has split his last eight fights and is coming off a July win over Todd Duffee. Mir is averaging 2.28 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy percentage of 47.6 percent. Mir is averaging 2.18 takedowns with an accuracy percentage of 45.4 percent. It wasn’t long ago when Mir was sitting on four straight losses and people were calling for his retirement. Funny what back-to-back knockout wins can do for you. Mir has improved his striking as he’s gotten older and seems to be living and dying on his feet. Four of Mir’s last six fights have ended in a knockout, for better or worse. This will be Mir’s 14th fight in Las Vegas, his home state.
We have a fight between two 36 year olds. This should be fun, right? Arlovski is clearly in better form and should get the fight style he wants given that Mir has spent a lot of his time trading punches lately. This could get ugly for Mir if this is a fight standing up.
I have to side with Arlovski to end Mir’s little streak he has going.