Donald Cerrone vs. Alex Oliveira UFC Pick, Preview, Odds, Prediction - 2/21/16
Alex Oliveira vs. Donald Cerrone
UFC: Sunday, February 21, 2016 (Consol Energy Center)
The Line: Donald Cerrone -280 / Alex Oliveira +240 Over/Under: 2.5 See the Latest Odds
Donald Cerrone and Alex Oliveira fight Sunday night at UFC Fight Night 83 in the Consol Energy Center.
Donald Cerrone enters this fight with a 28-6 record and has won 54 percent of his fights by submission. Cerrone has won five of his last six fights and is coming off a December loss to Rafael dos Anjos. Cerrone is averaging 3.99 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy percentage of 47 percent. Cerrone is averaging 1.33 takedowns with an accuracy percentage of 42.3 percent. Cerrone is one of the more balanced fighters in the sport with a background in kickboxing and boxing. Cerrone is a very accurate striker and is defending nearly 70 percent of his takedowns. The concern with Cerrone is that he is a slow starter, which could hurt him against a fighter this talented. This is Cerrone’s first fight in Pennsylvania.
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Alex Oliveira enters this fight with a 13-2-1 record and is winning 69 percent of his fights by knockout. Oliveira has won his last three fights and is coming off a November win over Piotr Hallmann. Oliveira is averaging 1.98 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy percentage of 36.8 percent. Oliveira is averaging 2.79 takedowns with an accuracy percentage of 32 percent. Oliveira is a lengthy fighter with an impressive reach of 76 inches, and he packs knockout power in his strikes. Oliveira is defending nearly 67 percent of his takedowns and is pretty solid on the defensive end as well. The concern with Oliveira is that he doesn’t have a lot of big wins under his belt and has been able to fight in his comfort zone of Brazil. This will be Oliveira’s second fight in the United States.
Oliveira hasn’t been on a stage like this and will be fighting probably the most talented fighter he’s ever been up against. Cerrone can attack in a variety of ways, and I’m not sure Oliveria will know how to respond from a defensive standpoint. I think it’s safe to say that Oliveria may be in over his head in this matchup.
I like Cerrone to get the job done.