Thiago Santos vs. Nate Marquardt UFC 198 Pick, Preview, Odds, Prediction - 5/14/16
UFC: Saturday, March 14, 2016 (Arena da Baixada)
The Line: Thiago Santos -360 / Nate Marquardt +300 Over/Under: 1.5 See the Latest Odds
Thiago Santos and Nate Marquardt fight Saturday night during UFC 198 at the Arena da Baixada.
Thiago Santos enters this fight with a 12-3 record and has won 58 percent of his fights by knockout. Santos has won his last three fights and is coming off a December win over Elias Theodorou. Santos is averaging 3.7 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy percentage of 46.8 percent. Santos is averaging 0.44 takedowns with an accuracy percentage of 20 percent. Santos seems to have found his footing in the UFC with three straight wins after a rocky start when he first joined in 2013. Santos is a long, lengthy fighter who has extreme power in his strikes and is more than willing to use a high leg kick as well. Santos is a tough fighter to prepare for due to his 76 inch reach and above-average athleticism. This will be Santos’ 12th fight in Brazil, his home country.
USA TODAY Sports
Nate Marquardt enters this fight with a 37-15-2 record and has won 38 percent of his fights by submission. Marquardt has lost five of his last seven fights and is coming off a December win over C.B. Dollaway. Marquardt is averaging 2.74 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy percentage of 48.8 percent. Marquardt is averaging 2.09 takedowns with an accuracy percentage of 51.6 percent. Despite coming off a knockout win, Marquardt enters this fight in extremely poor form and may be on his way out of the sport as he just turned 37. When fighting well, Marquardt is a balanced fighter with knockout power and a high success rate with his takedowns. The problem is Marquardt isn’t getting younger and the losses continue to pile up. This will be Marquardt’s first fight in Brazil.
Based on what we’ve seen from Marquardt recently, you can’t give him much of a shot to beat the far younger and more athletic Santos. In fact, this fight may get very ugly and could result in Marquardt being knocked out for the fifth time in his career.
I don’t give Marquardt much of a shot at all and think Santos is going to have his way here, picking up his fourth straight victory.