Cain Velasquez vs. Travis Browne UFC 200 Pick, Preview, Odds, Prediction - 7/9/16
Browne vs. Velasquez
UFC: Saturday, July 9, 2016 (T-Mobile Arena)
The Line Velasquez -280 / Browne +240 -- Over/Under: 1.5 See the Latest Odds
Cain Velasquez and Travis Browne fight Saturday night during UFC 200 at the T-Mobile Arena.
Cain Velasquez enters this fight with a 13-2 record and has won 85 percent of his fights by knockout. Velasquez has won six of his last eight fights and is coming off a June loss to Fabricio Werdum. Velasquez is averaging 6.22 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy percentage of 57.5 percent. Velasquez is averaging 5.24 takedowns with an accuracy percentage of 46.4 percent. Velasquez has had a year to recover from his submission loss that lost him the UFC Heavyweight Championship. Velasquez is a unique heavyweight, as he lands a ton of violet and accurate strikes but is also a great takedown artist with a polished wrestling attack. There’s more to Velasquez than just power, which makes him a dangerous matchup against other heavyweights. This will be Velasquez’s fifth fight in Las Vegas.
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Travis Browne enters this fight with a 18-3-1 record and has won 78 percent of his fights by knockout. Browne has won five of his last seven fights and is coming off a January win over Matt Mitrione. Browne is averaging 3.02 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy percentage of 44.5 percent. Browne is averaging 1.51 takedowns with an accuracy percentage of 71.4 percent. Browne has been hit or miss his last few fights and will be fighting for the third time in just over a year. Browne makes a living off his powerful and effective striking attack, as he’s won his last five fights by the stoppage and has earned countless knockout of the night honors. Browne is also highly skilled with his takedowns but is much more effective with his striking. This will be Browne’s seventh fight in Las Vegas.
Velasquez is probably the better overall fighter and will have the advantage if this fight goes to the canvas. However, I see value with Browne and the big plus money. Browne has a massive size advantage at 6’7” and a two-inch reach advantage. If Hapa can go to work with his strikes early, he could win this fight by knockout.
I’ll call the upset based on the value here.