Gegard Mousasi vs. Thiago Santos UFC 200 Pick, Preview, Odds, Prediction - 7/9/16
Santos vs. Mousasi
UFC: Saturday, July 9, 2016 (T-Mobile Arena)
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Gegard Mousasi and Thiago Santos fight Saturday night during UFC 200 at the T-Mobile Arena.
Gegard Mousasi enters this fight with a 38-6-2 record and has won 55 percent of his fights by knockout. Mousasi has won seven of his last 10 fights and is coming off a February win over Thales Leites. Mousasi is averaging 3.54 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy percentage of 50.4 percent. Mousasi is averaging 1.51 takedowns with an accuracy percentage of 64.1 percent. Mousasi will make a rare appearance in the United States and take his 5-3 UFC record with him. Mousasi is a very balanced fighter who lands accurate strikes and is effective with his takedowns. Ten of Mousasi’s last 14 victories have ended in some sort of stoppage and his knockout power is still clearly there. This will be Mousasi’s first fight in Las Vegas.
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Thiago Santos enters this fight with a 13-3 record and has won 62 percent of his fights by knockout. Santos has won his last four fights and is coming off a May win over Nate Marquardt. Santos is averaging 3.76 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy percentage of 47.4 percent. Santos is averaging 0.4 takedowns with an accuracy percentage of 20 percent. Santos is taking this fight on short notice after Derek Brunson was originally scheduled for this matchup. Santos is what he is, as he’s a lengthy fighter who relies on strikes and leg kicks to get the job done. Santos doesn’t really want any parts of the canvas and does a good job with his takedown defense to avoid such situations. On his feet, Santos is tough to beat. This will be Santos’ fourth fight in Las Vegas.
This may be one of the better fights on the card as both guys have knockout potential and should put on a show with their striking attacks. When it’s said and done, I like Santos’ length and usually side with him whenever he’s able to fight his style. Mousasi will allow him to do just that.
Give me Santos for his fifth straight victory.