Alex Oliveira vs. James Moontasri UFC on Fox 20 Pick, Preview, Odds, Prediction - 7/23/16
Moontasri vs. Oliveira
UFC: Saturday, July 23, 2016 (United Center)
The Line -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
Alex Oliveira and James Moontasri fight Saturday at the United Center on UFC on Fox 20.
Alex Oliveira enters this fight with a 13-3-1 record and has won 69 percent of his fights by knockout. Oliveira has won six of his last eight fights and is coming off a February loss to Donald Cerrone. Oliveira is averaging 2.18 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy percentage of 38.8 percent. Oliveira is averaging 2.64 takedowns with an accuracy percentage of 32 percent. Oliveira will have his third fight in the United States and looks to bounce back from his second UFC loss. Oliveira is a lengthy fighter with a reach of 76 inches and has terrific knockout power despite having just one in his last four wins. Oliveira is effective on the canvas but two of his three losses have come by submission. This will be Oliveira’s first fight in Chicago.
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James Moontasri enters this fight with a 9-3 record and has won 44 percent of his fights by knockout. Moontasri has split his last four fights and is coming off a November win over Anton Zafir. Moontasri is averaging 2.86 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy percentage of 49.7 percent. Moontasri is averaging zero takedowns with an accuracy percentage of zero percent. Moontasri has been hit or miss in the UFC, but both of his victories have been quick and exciting. Moontasri has clearly shown promise at 28 years old and has a knack for finishing fights with seven of his nine wins coming by stoppage. A win here would easily be the biggest of Moontasri’s career, especially at the UFC level. This will be Moontasri’s first fight in Chicago.
This should be a hell of a fight between two proven fighters who have shown the ability to win a variety of ways. However, Oliveira’s length and comfortability on the canvas forces me to give Cowboy the advantage. Hes also the more experienced fighter on this stage, which has to count for something as well.
I like Oliveira to win this fight and keep his streak alive with never losing back-to-back fights.