Nate Diaz vs. Conor McGregor UFC 202 Pick, Preview, Odds, Prediction - 8/20/16
McGregor vs. Diaz
UFC: Saturday, August 20, 2016 (T-Mobile Arena)
The Line McGregor -130 / Diaz +110 -- Over/Under: 2.5 See the Latest Odds
Nate Diaz and Conor McGregor fight Saturday at the T-Mobile Arena during UFC 202.
Nate Diaz enters this fight with a 20-10 record and has won 60 percent of his fights by submission. Diaz has won six of his last nine fights and is coming off a March win over Conor McGregor. Diaz is averaging 4.45 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy percentage of 43.6 percent. Diaz is averaging 1.22 takedowns with an accuracy percentage of 31.8 percent. Diaz has a chance to win three straight fights for the first time since 2011-12, and he has to be confident after what he just did to McGregor earlier in the year. Diaz was able to take a ton of punches from The Notorious and eventually wear him down, as most guys are knocked out by then. If Diaz can continue to show a proven chin, he should be fine in this fight once again.
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Conor McGregor enters this fight with a 19-3 record and has won 89 percent of his fights by knockout. McGregor has won 10 of his last 11 fights and is coming off a March loss to Nate Diaz. McGregor is averaging 5.74 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy percentage of 44.4 percent. McGregor is averaging 1.55 takedowns with an accuracy percentage of 71.4 percent. McGregor simply ran out of gas in the previous meeting, as none of his power shots could finish the bout. However, it’s important to note that McGregor was at a disadvantage due to the drastic change in weight class in such a short time. McGregor should be more prepared for this fight and hopefully has a different game plan rather than just punching and hoping Diaz falls.
This should be another fun fight, but I’m not sure how it ends any differently. McGregor has just one fighting style and that’s striking until his opponent gets knocked out. Diaz has shown he can eat all the punches McGregor has and then some. At the end of the day, Diaz is the bigger fighter, has a longer reach and will also have the advantage if this fight goes to the canvas.
It’s tough not to side with Diaz given what we saw several months ago.