Stefan Struve vs. Daniel Omielanczuk UFC 204 Pick, Preview, Odds, Prediction - 10/8/16
Omielanczuk vs. Struve
UFC: Saturday, October 8, 2016 (Manchester Arena)
The Line: -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
Stefan Struve and Daniel Omielanczuk fight late Saturday night during UFC 204 at the Manchester Arena.
Stefan Struve enters this fight with a 31-8 record and has won 52 percent of his fights by submission. Struve has split his last six fights and is coming off a May win over Antônio Silva. Struve is averaging 3.51 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy percentage of 50.6 percent. Struve is averaging 0.52 takedowns with an accuracy percentage of 80 percent. Struve has been hit or miss recently and looks to win back-to-back fights for the first time since 2012. Struve has been prone to knockouts in his career and five of his last six losses have been due to the stoppage. However, Struve is always one of the tougher matchups due to his massive frame and crazy reach advantages he has on all of his opponents. This will be Struve’s sixth fight in England.
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Daniel Omielanczuk enters this fight with a 19-5-1 record and has won 47 percent of his fights by submission. Omielanczuk has won six of his last eight fights and is coming off a July win over Oleksiy Oliynyk. Omielanczuk is averaging 3.02 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy percentage of 65.7 percent. Omielanczuk is averaging 0.85 takedowns with an accuracy percentage of 36.3 percent. Omielanczuk has been rather consistent throughout his career but is just now starting to improve the quality of his opponents. Omielanczuk has proven to be a highly accurate striker in the UFC and has never lost a fight due to stoppage. It’ll be interesting to see how the smaller Omielanczuk goes about this fight and this is probably his biggest fight of his career. This will be Omielanczuk’s third fight in England.
You look at the numbers between these two and you have to give Struve the massive advantage heading into this fight. Not only is he 12 inches taller than Omielanczuk, but he has 10 inch striking reach advantage and a seven inch leg reach advantage. It’s almost not fair how many ways Struve can attack while not putting himself in much danger in terms of counters. Omielanczuk is at a real disadvantage when he takes the octagon on Saturday.
Give me Struve to get the victory here.