Dominick Cruz vs. Cody Garbrandt UFC 207 Pick, Preview, Odds, Prediction - 12/30/16
Garbrandt vs. Cruz
UFC: Saturday, December 30, 2016 (T-Mobile Arena)
The Line: Garbrandt +180 / Cruz -220 -- Over/Under: 2.5 See the Latest Odds
Dominick Cruz and Cody Garbrandt fight Friday night during UFC 207 at the T-Mobile Arena.
Dominick Cruz enters this fight with a 22-1 record and has won 64 percent of his fights by decision. Cruz has won his last 13 fights and is coming off a June win over Urijah Faber. Cruz is averaging 3.53 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy percentage of 31.9 percent. Cruz is averaging 3.53 takedowns with an accuracy percentage of 53.6 percent. Cruz has enjoyed a successful 2016 and will be going for his third win of the year. Overall, the only thing that’s slowed Cruz down have been injuries, as he hasn’t lost since his 2007 fight to Urijah Faber, something he got revenge for during the summer. Cruz relies heavily on his agility and striking game, and he has a reach of 68 inches and terrific stamina that allows him to outlast his opponents. This will be Cruz’s sixth fight in Las Vegas.
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Cody Garbrandt enters this fight with a 10-0 record and has won 90 percent of his fights by knockout. This will be Garbrandt’s fourth fight of 2016, and he’s coming off a August win over Takeya Mizugaki. Garbrandt is averaging 4.15 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy percentage of 38.4 percent. Garbrandt is averaging 1.59 takedowns with an accuracy percentage of 44.4 percent. Garbrandt has wasted no time proving he’s worth the hype, as he’s 5-0 in UFC fights and has won his last three fights by first round knockout. Garbrandt is a volume striker with a boxing background and is going to spend much of the fight being the aggressor. The concern with Garbrandt is that he still has to prove he has the stamina to go the distance, as much of his fights are quick and painless. This will be Garbrandt’s fifth fight in Las Vegas.
Garbrandt is the sexy pick and will always have a shot to pull off an upset based on his ridiculous power and ability to end a fight with one swing. The problem is that Cruz is extremely agile and is going to make it tough for Garbrandt to lineup a good shot. Also, Cruz has the advantage on the canvas and has proven time and time again that there’s plenty left in the tank once you get to the later rounds. With Garbrandt, I’m not sure, as he’s been a quick knockout king up to this point. This is a fight that Cruz should be able to win, especially since he’s been in the octagon with heavy punchers before.
Look for Garbrandt to receive his first loss.