Fabricio Werdum vs. Cain Velasquez UFC 207 Pick, Preview, Odds, Prediction - 12/30/16
Velasquez vs. Werdum
UFC: Saturday, December 30, 2016 (T-Mobile Arena)
The Line: Velasquez -185 / Werdum +160 -- Over/Under: 2.5 See the Latest Odds
Fabricio Werdum and Cain Velasquez fight Friday night during UFC 207 at the T-Mobile Arena.
Fabricio Werdum enters this fight with a 21-6-1 record and has won 48 percent of his fights by submission. Werdum has won seven of his last eight fights and is coming off a September win over Travis Browne. Werdum is averaging 3.44 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy percentage of 51.4 percent. Werdum is averaging 1.67 takedowns with an accuracy percentage of 31.1 percent. Werdum bounced back nicely with a convincing victory after losing the UFC Heavyweight Championship back in May, and he looks for his second victory over Velasquez. Werdum is a strong, accurate striker who has a feel for the canvas and has 10 submission victories under his belt. Werdum has ended five of his last eight victories. This will be Werdum’s second fight in Las Vegas.
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Cain Velasquez enters this fight with a 14-2 record and has won 86 percent of his fights by knockout. Velasquez has won five of his last six fights and is coming off a July win over Travis Browne. Velasquez is averaging 6.38 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy percentage of 57.9 percent. Velasquez is averaging 5.15 takedowns with an accuracy percentage of 45.9 percent. Velasquez has had plenty of time to prepare for this rematch, as he’s fought just once since that 2015 loss, which earned Performance of the Night. It’s no secret Velasquez is known for his striking power, as seven of his last eight wins have been knockouts and he has a relentless motor that forces him to be the aggressor on the offensive end. It’s the ground game that can be Velasquez’s downfall at times. This will be Velasquez’s sixth fight in Las Vegas.
It’s hard to turn down Werdum and the plus money here given that he does have the advantage if this fight goes to the canvas. However, it’s tough to beat a guy two times in a row and you know Velasquez is super motivated to redeem himself. Velasquez is well rested for this fight and has the overwhelming advantage as long as this fight is standing up. Werdum has been knocked out twice in his career, including this year against Stipe Miocic. Velasquez and his constant aggressive striking attack should dictate this fight and give him the advantage towards a victory.
I like Velasquez to get the win in this rematch.