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Gray Maynard vs. Teruto Ishihara UFC Pick, Preview, Odds, Prediction - 7/7/17

Ishihara vs. Maynard

UFC: Friday, July 7, 2017 (T-Mobile Arena)

The Line: -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds

TV: UFC Fight Pass

Gray Maynard and Teruto Ishihara fight Friday during The Ultimate Fighter 25 Finale at the T-Mobile Arena.

Gray Maynard enters this fight with a 13-7-1 record and has won 85 percent of his fights by decision. Maynard has lost four of his last five fights and is coming off a December loss to Ryan Hall. Maynard is averaging 1.97 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy percentage of 31.6 percent. Maynard is averaging 2.48 takedowns with an accuracy percentage of 41.4 percent. Maynard could use a win here after losing six of his last eight fights and his only recent win coming against Fernando Bruno. You know what you're getting with Maynard, as he's a well conditioned grinder who wants to grapple, clinch, get the takedown and wrestle his way to victory. A total of 12 of Maynard’s 20 fights have ended in a decision, so it's all about conditioning with the 38-year-old. This will be Maynard’s 10th fight in Las Vegas.

Gray Maynard vs. Teruto Ishihara UFC Pick, Preview, Odds, Prediction - 7/7/17

USA TODAY Sports

Teruto Ishihara enters this fight with a 10-3-1 record and has won 90 percent of his fights by knockout. Ishihara has split his last six fights and is coming off a November loss to Artem Lobov. Ishihara is averaging 4.62 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy percentage of 48.4 percent. Ishihara is averaging zero takedowns with an accuracy percentage of zero percent. Ishihara enters this fight 2-1-1 in the UFC and looks to avoid back-to-back losses for the first time. Ishihara has proven to be an accurate and powerful striker with eight of his wins coming by knockout, and he has a strong left hand with one punch KO potential. Ishihara has yet to produce a takedown at the UFC level, so his ground game has yet to really be tested, but he's a tough out when standing up. This will be Ishihara’s third fight in the United States.

This is a fight Maynard should feel somewhat confident in if he can clinch and execute takedowns. He wants a fight on the canvas and could certainly take Ishihara out of his comfort zone if he can find success in those areas. The problem is Maynard has struggled with solid strikers in the past and four of his six losses have come by knockouts. Ishihara is one of the more dangerous strikers Maynard has seen in awhile, and he's a much younger, quicker fighter than the American. Maynard has had a hard time finding his form over the years, and I’m not sure he has what it takes to beat Ishihara at this stage of his career.

Close fight, but I like Ishihara to prevail.

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