Brad Scott vs. Jack Hermansson UFC Pick, Preview, Odds, Prediction - 8/5/17
Hermansson vs. Scott
UFC: Saturday, August 5, 2017 (Arena Ciudad de Mexico)
The Line: -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
Brad Scott and Jack Hermansson fight Saturday during UFC Fight Night 114 at the Arena Ciudad de Mexico.
Brad Scott enters this fight with a 12-4 record and has won 42 percent of his fights by knockout. Scott has split his last six fights and is coming off a March win over Scott Askham. Scott is averaging 3.63 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy percentage of 42.8 percent. Scott is averaging 0.4 takedowns with an accuracy percentage of 15.3 percent. Scott has been hit or miss over the years and looks for back-to-back wins for the first time since 2011-12. Scott has a powerful striking game that’s produced five knockouts, and he’s coming off a fight in which he produced 72 significant strikes, but he doesn’t have a knockout win his his 2012 bout with Mok Rahman. Scott also has an underrated ground game due to his lack of aggressiveness with his takedowns, but he does have three victories by the rear-naked choke. Scott is a balanced fighter with a knack for finishing fights. This will be Scott’s first fight in Mexico.
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Jack Hermansson enters this fight with a 15-3 record and has won 60 percent of his fights by knockout. Hermansson has won 10 of his last 11 fights and is coming off a May win over Alex Nicholson. Hermansson is averaging 5.17 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy percentage of 53.4 percent. Hermansson is averaging 1.24 takedowns with an accuracy percentage of 28.5 percent. Hermansson bounced back quickly from his loss to Cezar Ferreira and will fight for the fourth time since September. Hermansson is a lengthy striker with great boxing skills and one-punch knockout potential, and he’s just as effective with his ground and pound as he is standing up. Hermansson has produced knockouts in three of his last four victories and often forces his opponent to fight his fight due to a 75 percent takedown defense. Of course, the concern is Hermansson has been submitted twice in three losses. This will be Hermansson’s first fight in Mexico.
This will be a good fight between two balanced fighters who can hold their own standing up or on the canvas, but it’s Hermansson who is the better offensive fighter. Hermansson is the more accurate striker, has longer arms and legs, and he’s highly effective with his ground and pound if this fight ends up going to the canvas. While Scott has never been knocked out in his career, this is a dangerous fight for him if he’s not able to turn this into a grappling, wrestling contest.
I like Hermansson to get the job done here.