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Dustin Ortiz vs. Hector Sandoval UFC Pick, Preview, Odds, Prediction - 8/5/17

Sandoval vs. Ortiz

UFC: Saturday, August 5, 2017 (Arena Ciudad de Mexico)

The Line: -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds

TV: FS1

Dustin Ortiz and Hector Sandoval fight Saturday during UFC Fight Night 114 at the Arena Ciudad de Mexico.

Dustin Ortiz enters this fight with a 16-7 record and has won 44 percent of his fights by knockout. Ortiz has split his last 10 fights and is coming off a April loss to Brandon Moreno. Ortiz is averaging 2.93 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy percentage of 44.3 percent. Ortiz is averaging 2.67 takedowns with an accuracy percentage of 32.4 percent. Ortiz has had trouble with consistency since joining the UFC in 2013, but he’s lost back-to-back fights just once in his career. Ortiz has knockout potential and has shown he’s more than capable of controlling a fight on the canvas with his aggressive takedowns, but seven of his last nine fights have ended in decision. Ortiz likes to control the pace of a fight and has to be more aggressive offensively in order to avoid these tight fights that go to the judges. This will be Ortiz’s first fight in Mexico. 

Dustin Ortiz vs. Hector Sandoval UFC Pick, Preview, Odds, Prediction - 8/5/17

USA TODAY Sports

Hector Sandoval enters this fight with a 14-3 record and has won 57 percent of his fights by decision. Sandoval has won six of his last seven fights and is coming off a April win over Matt Schnell. Sandoval is averaging 3.3 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy percentage of 53.8 percent. Sandoval is averaging 3.54 takedowns with an accuracy percentage of 25 percent. Sandoval is 2-1 in the UFC and will fight for the fourth time since last July. Sandoval has been sharp in his three fights on this level, as he’s displayed great striking accuracy while producing five takedowns in a short sample size. Sandoval has proven to be a balanced fighter and has the stamina to outlast his opponent considering he’s an impressive 10-0 in his career when a fight goes past the first round. This will be Sandoval’s first fight in Mexico, his birthplace. 

Ortiz has the striking power to make this fight interesting and could win if he goes back to dictating the pace and making his opponent uncomfortable. The problem is we’re not sure what to expect from Ortiz, as he’s been so hit or miss over his last 10 fights. Sandoval has been solid in his last two bouts with good takedown ability and striking, and you know he’s eager for this fight considering it’s his first in front of his home of Mexico.

I give the edge to Sandoval based on his form.

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