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Sam Alvey vs. Rashad Evans UFC Pick, Preview, Odds, Prediction - 8/5/17

Evans vs. Alvey

UFC: Saturday, August 5, 2017 (Arena Ciudad de Mexico)

The Line: -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds

TV: FS1

Sam Alvey and Rashad Evans fight Saturday during UFC Fight Night 114 at the Arena Ciudad de Mexico.

Sam Alvey enters this fight with a 30-9 record and has won 60 percent of his fights by knockout. Alvey has won seven of his last 10 fights and is coming off a April loss to Thales Leites. Alvey is averaging 3.32 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy percentage of 46.5 percent. Alvey is averaging zero takedowns with an accuracy percentage of zero percent. Alvey will fight for the third time this year and hopes to avoid back-to-back losses for the second time. Alvey is a well conditioned fighter who has seen 16 of his fights end in decision, and he has a strong wrestling background despite scoring no takedowns on the UFC level. Alvey is also a polished striker who has countless wins via punches and has one punch knockout potential. Alvey is simply a balanced fighter who has been finished just twice in nine losses. This will be Alvey’s third fight in Mexico. 

Sam Alvey vs. Rashad Evans UFC Pick, Preview, Odds, Prediction - 8/5/17

USA TODAY Sports

Rashad Evans enters this fight with a 24-6-1 record and has won 42 percent of his fights by decision. Evans has lost five of his last seven fights and is coming off a March loss to Daniel Kelly. Evans is averaging 2.19 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy percentage of 37.8 percent. Evans is averaging 3.04 takedowns with an accuracy percentage of 46.2 percent. Evans is clearly on the downside of his career as he’s approaching 38 years old, he’s battled injuries and a recent change in weightclass. Of course, when in good form, Evans is an excellent takedown artist with a deep wrestling background and is the type of fighter who just wears on you. Evans also has good striking power and an effective ground and pound. Unfortunately, we haven’t seen Evans win a fight in nearly four years. This will be Evans’ second fight outside of the United States. 

Alley does pretty much everything Evans does well, he’s just younger and more consistent at this point of their careers. He’s more than capable of holding his own on the canvas with Evans and is the more powerful striker regardless of the form Suga is in. While it would be nice to see Evans win and stop this losing drought, it’s tough to pick him or make a strong case given his recent results.

I have Alvey winning this fight.

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