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Rustam Khabilov vs. Desmond Green UFC Pick, Preview, Odds, Prediction - 9/2/17

Green vs. Khabilov

UFC: Saturday, September 2, 2017 (Ahoy Rotterdam)

The Line: -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds

TV: UFC Fight Pass

Rustam Khabilov and Desmond Green fight Saturday during UFC Fight Night 115 at the Ahoy Rotterdam.

Rustam Khabilov enters this fight with a 21-3 record and has won 57 percent of his fights by decision. Khabilov has won six of his last eight fights and is coming off a December win over Jason Saggo. Khabilov is averaging 2.1 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy percentage of 36.6 percent. Khabilov is averaging 4.32 takedowns with an accuracy percentage of 49.2 percent. Khabilov has won four straight fights since his 2015 loss to Adriano Martins and is proving to be quite the consistent fighter as he approaches 31 years old. Khabilov is a one-style fighter who relies on his aggressive takedown ability and wrestling. A total of 20 of Khabilov’s 24 fights have ended in submission or decision, proving he usually gets the fight where he wants it, and he’s never been knocked out in his career. Khabilov has produced 12 takedowns in his last three fights. This will be Khabilov’s third fight in the Netherlands.

Rustam Khabilov vs. Desmond Green UFC Pick, Preview, Odds, Prediction - 9/2/17

USA TODAY Sports

Desmond Green enters this fight with a 20-5 record and has won 70 percent of his fights by decision. Green has won five straight fights and is coming off a April win over Josh Emmett. Green is averaging 3.8 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy percentage of 45.9 percent. Green is averaging one takedown with an accuracy percentage of 50 percent. Green hasn’t lost since his 2015 fight with Andre Harrison and looked sharp in his UFC debut where he landed 57 strikes and had one takedown. Green is a well decorated wrestler who had a successful high school run and was a champion at the University of Buffalo. A total of 17 of Green’s 25 fights have ended in decision, as he looks to bully his takedowns and control the match on top. Green also has five wins by knockout, so don’t sleep on his striking power. This will be Green’s first fight in the Netherlands.

If you’re into a chess match, high skilled wrestling battle, this is the fight for you. Both of these guys are highly aggressive with their takedowns and their backgrounds in wrestling are well documented. Whoever can gain position or the first one to make a mistake will be the deciding factor in this fight. Green is the slightly bigger fighter and does have more pop in his strikes, but Khabilov is the more polished and more experienced fighter overall who has done nothing but make his opponent adjust to him time and time again.

Tough fight to call, but I give the edge to Khabilov.

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