Junior dos Santos vs. Francis Ngannou UFC 215 Pick, Preview, Odds, Prediction - 9/9/17
Ngannou vs. dos Santos
UFC: Saturday, September 9, 2017 (Rogers Place)
The Line: -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
Junior dos Santos and Francis Ngannou fight Saturday during UFC 215 at the Rogers Place.
Junior dos Santos enters this fight with a 18-5 record and has won 72 percent of his fights by knockout. dos Santos has split his last eight fights and is coming off a May loss to Stipe Miocic. dos Santos is averaging 4.89 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy percentage of 49.1 percent. dos Santos is averaging 0.41 takedowns with an accuracy percentage of 62.5 percent. dos Santos hopes to bounce back after losing the UFC Heavyweight Championship and hopes to avoid back-to-back losses for the first time in his career. dos Santos is what he is, as he relies heavily on his stand up striking attack and his boxing background, and majority of his victories have come via punches. dos Santos is deadly when he’s able to pressure his opponent and is letting his hands go. However, dos Santos has been knocked out in each of his last three losses, so he can be vulnerable to the striking game as well. This will be dos Santos’ second fight in Canada.
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Francis Ngannou enters this fight with a 10-1 record and has won 50 percent of his fights by knockout. Ngannou has won his last nine fights and is coming off a January win over Andrei Arlovski. Ngannou is averaging 3.4 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy percentage of 47.8 percent. Ngannou is averaging zero takedowns with an accuracy percentage of zero percent. Ngannou still hasn’t lost a fight since his 2013 bout with Zoumana Cisse and is coming off back-to-back contests where he’s earned performance of the night honors. Ngannou is a well built fighter who is pure muscle, has a reach of 83 inches and has quick hands along with good footwork. Ngannou is known for his striking power and heavy hands, but he also has four career submission vicarious and is rather creative with all four of those wins coming from different holds. All 10 of Ngannou’s victories have come by stoppage. This will be Ngannou’s first fight in Canada.
This should end up being a bloodbath between two fighters who rely on their striking power to win fights, so this is easily one of the more exciting bouts on the card. And while it could go either way, I’m siding with Ngannou because of the six inch reach advantage and the fact I think he has slightly more power in those hands. The guy is just a monster. In a heavyweight fight where striking will decide things, size and reach matters. Ngannou has the edge in all areas. Not to mention we’ve seen dos Santos get knocked out three times over the recent years against power strikers, and it doesn’t get much better than Ngannou.
Ngannou gets the win here and inches closer to a title shot.