Neil Magny vs. Rafael dos Anjos UFC 215 Pick, Preview, Odds, Prediction - 9/9/17
dos Anjos vs. Magny
UFC: Saturday, September 9, 2017 (Rogers Place)
The Line: -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
Neil Magny and Rafael dos Anjos fight Saturday during UFC 215 at the Rogers Place.
Neil Magny enters this fight with a 19-6 record and has won 53 percent of his fights by decision. Magny has won six of his last eight fights and is coming off a December win over Johny Hendricks. Magny is averaging 4.04 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy percentage of 50 percent. Magny is averaging 2.71 takedowns with an accuracy percentage of 46.6 percent. Magny all fight for the ninth time since 2015, and his only recent loss was that first round knockout to Lorenz Larkin. Magny is a lengthy fighter with a reach of 80 inches and uses that both in striking and to produce 35 takedowns on the UFC level. Magny is an overall smart defensive fighter who has won 10 of his 11 career decisions and doesn’t put himself in harms way often. Magny also has a devastating ground and pound if the fight goes to the canvas. This will be Magny’s second fight in Canada.
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Rafael dos Anjos enters this fight with a 26-9 record and has won 50 percent of his fights by decision. dos Anjos has won six of his last eight fights and is coming off a June win over Tarec Saffiedine. dos Anjos is averaging 3.36 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy percentage of 42 percent. dos Anjos is averaging 2.26 takedowns with an accuracy percentage of 40.8 percent. dos Anjos snapped a two-fight losing streak a few months ago and looks to win two fights in one year for the first time since 2015. Only five of dos Anjos’ victories have come by knockout, but he’s an aggressive, pressure fighter who throws tons of strikes throughout a fight and loves body kicks. dos Anjos is simply a tough fighter who can take shots and keep coming forward, and he’s usually the aggressor, which is why he’s been on the winning side of 13 of his 19 career decisions. This will be dos Anjos’ first fight in Canada.
I was originally leaning with Magny in this bout considering he’s the much bigger fighter which includes a six inch height advantage, 10 inch reach advantage and seven inch leg advantage. dos Anjos will have his hands full countering all that length. However, Magny has struggled with pressure fighters in the past and the length doesn’t mean as much when you’re constantly on the defensive side. As long as dos Anjos keeps the pressure on Magny and dictates the pace, something he usually does, I like his chances here.
Interesting fight, but I give the edge to the Brazilian.