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Hector Lombard vs. Anthony Smith UFC Pick, Preview, Odds, Prediction - 9/16/17

Smith vs. Lombard

UFC: Saturday, September 16, 2017 (PPG Paints Arena)

The Line: -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds

TV: FS1

Hector Lombard and Anthony Smith fight Saturday during UFC Fight Night 116 at the PPG Paints Arena.   

Hector Lombard enters this fight with a 34-7-1 record and has won 65 percent of his fights by knockout. Lombard has lost his last three fights and is coming off a February loss to Johny Hendricks. Lombard is averaging 2.77 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy percentage of 44.3 percent. Lombard is averaging two takedowns with an accuracy percentage of 48.5 percent. Lombard is getting desperate for a victory considering his last one came over three years ago against Jake Shields. Lombard has a deep background in judo and kickboxing, and he’s most effective standing up where he can strike and unleash his pure power. However, Lombard is also an effective takedown artist with seven submission victories and is more than comfortable on the canvas, which includes never being submitted himself. This will be Lombard’s first fight in Pennsylvania. 

Hector Lombard vs. Anthony Smith UFC Pick, Preview, Odds, Prediction - 9/16/17

USA TODAY Sports

Anthony Smith enters this fight with a 27-12 record and has won 52 percent of his fights by knockout. Smith has won five of his last six fights and is coming off a April win over Andrew Sanchez. Smith is averaging 3.3 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy percentage of 47.6 percent. Smith is averaging 0.44 takedowns with an accuracy percentage of 33.3 percent. Smith has lost just one recent fight, which was to Cezar Ferreira in 2016, and he’s bounced back with back-to-back knockouts. Smith is most known for his standup and one-punch knockout potential, but he also has 11 submission victories and has attempted six takedowns on the UFC level, so his ground game can’t be overlooked. Smith is a really balanced fighter who just turned 29 years old and has a knack for finishing his opponent with only two of his 27 career wins coming by decision. This will be Smith’s third fight in Pennsylvania. 

Lombard always has a chance to win a fight due to his judo expertise and raw power, but he is up there in age and his form hasn’t been the best over his last several fights. Smith can more than hold his own standing up, but he’ll have a considerable advantage on the canvas as well in this match. Not to mention Smith has a six-inch reach advantage over Lombard, which is a big deal if this ends up turning into a backyard brawl with both guys looking to land the haymaker. This just seems like a bad matchup for Lombard, especially given his recent form.

Smith should win this fight.

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