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Mike Perry vs. Thiago Alves UFC Pick, Preview, Odds, Prediction - 9/16/17

Alves vs. Perry

UFC: Saturday, September 16, 2017 (PPG Paints Arena)

The Line: -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds

TV: FS1

Mike Perry and Thiago Alves fight Saturday during UFC Fight Night 116 at the PPG Paints Arena.

Mike Perry enters this fight with a 10-1 record and has won 100 percent of his fights by knockout. Perry has won five of his last six fights and is coming off a April win over Jake Ellenberger. Perry is averaging 4.67 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy percentage of 44.9 percent. Perry is averaging zero takedowns with an accuracy percentage of zero percent. Perry bounced back nicely from his loss to Alan Jouban and earned performance of the night honors. Perry is a pure striker with heavy hands and a boxing background. Perry wants a fight on his feet and has yet to even attempt a takedown in four UFC fights. It’s no secret what Perry wants to do in the octagon, as he has a 71-inch reach and is always one punch or a combination away from ending things, the way he has in all 10 of his victories. Standing up, few can hang with Perry and his striking game. This will be Perry’s first fight in Pennsylvania. 

Mike Perry vs. Thiago Alves UFC Pick, Preview, Odds, Prediction - 9/16/17

USA TODAY Sports

Thiago Alves enters this fight with a 26-11 record and has won 50 percent of his fights by knockout. Alves has split his last 12 fights and is coming off a April win over Patrick Cote. Alves is averaging 3.6 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy percentage of 41.9 percent. Alves is averaging 0.75 takedowns with an accuracy percentage of 66.6 percent. Alves has been hit or miss the last several years, but is coming off a dominating win in which he strikes Cote to death and got a takedown. Alves is an athletic fighter who has a variety of strikes that include knockout power in his hands and effective leg kicks. Alves is also a highly effective takedown artist when he attempts them, and both of his submissions have come on the UFC level. Alves is an aggressive fighter who simply finds ways to win, and six of his 11 losses have come by decision. This will be Alves’ first fight in Pennsylvania. 

This is an interesting fight between two guys who are at their best when standing up striking and have the ability to end things at any moment. The reason I’m siding with Alves is because of his versatility. Alves mixes in his leg kicks well, is a capable grappler and can force Perry out of his comfort zone with takedown attempts. There’s just more to Alves’ game than just the raw striking power that Perry brings to the table even if it has proven to be super effective.

I like Alves to win this fight.

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