Donald Cerrone vs. Darren Till UFC Pick, Preview, Odds, Prediction - 10/21/17
Till vs. Cerrone
UFC: Saturday, October 21, 2017 (Ergo Arena)
The Line: -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
TV: UFC Fight Pass
Donald Cerrone and Darren Till fight Saturday during UFC 216 at the Ergo Arena.
Donald Cerrone enters this fight with a 32-9 record and has won 50 percent of his fights by submission. Cerrone has won seven of his last 10 fights and is coming off a July loss to Robbie Lawler. Cerrone is averaging 4.23 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy percentage of 4.79 percent. Cerrone is averaging 1.34 takedowns with an accuracy percentage of 37.9 percent. Cerrone is riding a two-fight losing streak right now and his last win was in 2016 against Matt Brown. Cerrone is a versatile fighter who is a well decorated kick boxer, highly effective in Muay Thai and is comfortable on the canvas to the point he has 16 career submission victories. There’s not much Cerrone can’t do in the octagon, and he’s won 24 of his 32 fights by some sort of stoppage. Cerrone has finished his last five opponents with his last decision coming in 2015 against Benson Henderson. This will be Cerrone’s first fight in Poland.
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Darren Till enters this fight with a 15-0-1 record and has won 60 percent of his fights by knockout. Till has won five of his last six fights and is coming off a September win over Bojan Velickovic. Till is averaging 2.98 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy percentage of 54 percent. Till is averaging 0.87 takedowns with an accuracy percentage of 33.3 percent. Till looks for his third victory of the year, and his only non-victory was a 2015 draw against Nicolas Dalby. Till is also a balanced fighter who relies on Muay Thai, accurate stand up striking and has an effective ground and pound. Two of Till’s four decision victories have come in his last four fights, so he’s proven the endurance is there, but his one-punch knockout potential is what makes him most scary to his opponents. This will be Till’s first fight in Poland.
It’s getting harder and harder to bet against Till at this point. Sure, some can criticize his resume and the lack of true quality names can leave you questioning just how good the 24-year-old is, but victories are victories in this sport, and the kid has looked extremely impressive. His athleticism and awkward stance that allows for him to counter and land a powerful strike makes him extremely dangerous. Yes, Cowboy has the edge in experience and knows a thing or two about Muay Thai as well, but he is getting up there in age and just lost back-to-back fights to two older fighters who don’t have the explosive skill set Till has.
I’m siding with Till to get the victory here.