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Trevor Smith vs. Ramazan Emeev UFC Pick, Preview, Odds, Prediction - 10/21/17

Emeev vs. Smith

UFC: Saturday, October 21, 2017 (Ergo Arena)

The Line: -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds

TV: UFC Fight Pass

Trevor Smith and Ramazan Emeev fight Saturday during UFC Fight Night 118 at the Ergo Arena.

Trevor Smith enters this fight with a 15-7 record and has won 60 percent of his fights by submission. Smith has split his last 12 fights and is coming off a May win over Chris Camozzi. Smith is averaging 3.38 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy percentage of 59 percent. Smith is averaging 1.94 takedowns with an accuracy percentage of 34 percent. Smith has been inconsistent the last several years and has a chance to win back-to-back fights for the second time since 2011. Smith has a background in Jiu-Jitsu and wrestling, which has helped him earn nine submission victories, but his striking can’t be slept on. Smith can land some haymakers with his weird devilry, and he’s highly accurate with his standup while possessing an effective ground and pound. Smith has a better skill set than his record would indicate, and he’s going to get the fight where he wants it at some point. This will be Smith’s first fight in Poland.

Trevor Smith vs. Ramazan Emeev UFC Pick, Preview, Odds, Prediction - 10/21/17

USA TODAY Sports

Ramazan Emeev enters this fight with a 15-3 record and has won 47 percent of his fights by submission. Emeev has won his last four fights and is coming off a December win over Anatoly Tokov. Emeev is a 30-year-old Russian who is making his UFC debut after spending most of his fighting career in his backyard. Emeev is a M-1 Global middleweight champion whose only recent loss came in 2014 from Vyacheslav Vasilevsky. Emeev appears to be an accurate striker who has a come forward style and is most comfortable on the canvas where he has seven submission victories. Emeev has a background in Combat Sambo, so he’s clearly a tough fighter who won’t go down easily and is in his comfort zone when it comes to striking and grappling. Emeev has finished six of his last eight opponents with three of those wins being knockouts. This will be Emeev’s fourth fight outside of Russia.

We’re going to learn a lot more about Emeev in this fight considering he’s spent much of his career fighting in his backyard and beating up on guys who aren’t exactly high quality. Smith has been hit or miss the last several years, so who knows what you’re getting with him. However, Smith did have an impressive victory over Camozzi in which he landed numbers quality strikes and produced four takedowns. If that Smith shows up for this fight, he should win. I have to see Emeev prove he’s ready for the big stage before picking him to win a fight like this one.

Give me Smith to get the rare back-to-back victory.

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