Cody Garbrandt vs. T.J. Dillashaw UFC 217 Pick, Preview, Odds, Prediction - 11/4/17
Dillashaw vs. Garbrandt
UFC: Saturday, November 4, 2017 (Madison Square Garden)
The Line: Garbrandt -143 / Dillashaw +120 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
Cody Garbrandt and T.J. Dillashaw fight Saturday during UFC 217 at Madison Square Garden.
Cody Garbrandt enters this fight with a 11-0 record and has won 82 percent of his fights by knockout. This will be Garbrandt’s fifth fight since 2016 and is coming off a December win over Dominick Cruz. Garbrandt is averaging 3.58 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy percentage of 37.3 percent. Garbrandt is averaging 1.19 takedowns with an accuracy percentage of 38.4 percent. Garbrandt took some much needed time off after a busy 2016, and he was supposed to fight in July but pulled out due to an injured back. Garbrandt is 6-0 under the UFC banner and has proven to be a volume striker who lands with great power and is usually always the aggressor. Garbrandt has won three of his last four fights by first round knockout, but he also has a background in wrestling and has the conditioning to be effective in later rounds if needed. Garbrandt is just a really solid fighter who has shown very few weaknesses up to this point. This will be Garbrandt’s first fight in New York.
USA TODAY Sports
T.J. Dillashaw enters this fight with a 15-3 record and has won 40 percent of his fights by knockout. Dillashaw has won six of his last seven fights and is coming off a December win over John Lineker. Dillashaw is averaging 5.38 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy percentage of 41.1 percent. Dillashaw is averaging 1.8 takedowns with an accuracy percentage of 38.1 percent. Dillashaw has won back-to-back fights since last years loss to Dominick Cruz and looks for three straight victories for the first time since 2014-15. Dillashaw doesn’t need an introduction, as he’s a powerful accurate striker with a viscous ground and pound, and he’s an above-average wrestler with great takedown defense and three submission victories. Dillashaw is a patient fighter who is willing to let a few rounds go by before taking advantage. Dillashaw is also a tough fighter whose only clear loss was in 2011 against John Dodson, as his other two losses were controversial split decisions. This will be Dillashaw’s first fight in New York.
Another great fight on what is a loaded card in New York, and once again, you could make a case for either guy in this spot. Dillashaw has the versatility and the longer reach, while Garbrandt has the punching power advantage and the athleticism/cardio. When it comes down to it, I’m not sure how anybody can bet against Garbrandt. He’s shown little to no weakness up to this point and has the overwhelming offensive attack to end things on his terms. A slow worker and sometimes passive fighter such as Dillashaw could struggle with Garbrandt’s power and aggressiveness.
I like Garbrandt to remain undefeated.