Alistair Overeem vs. Francis Ngannou UFC 218 Pick, Preview, Odds, Prediction - 12/2/17
Overeem vs. Ngannou
UFC: Saturday, December 2, 2017 (Little Caesars Arena)
The Line: Ngannou -220 / Overeem +170 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
Alistair Overeem and Francis Ngannou fight Saturday during UFC 218 at the Little Caesars Arena.
Alistair Overeem enters this fight with a 43-15 record and has won 49 percent of his fights by knockout. Overeem has won six of his last seven fights and is coming off a July win over Fabrício Werdum. Overeem is averaging 3.69 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy percentage of 61.1 percent. Overeem is averaging 1.47 takedowns with an accuracy percentage of 64.2 percent. Overeem has put together back-to-back impressive victories and has a chance to win three straight fights in one year. Of course, Overeem is one of the more balanced fighters in the sport, as 38 of his 43 wins have been stoppages, and he can hold his own striking or on the canvas. Whether it's the nasty leg kicks or the guillotine choke, Overeem can win any style of fight even at 37 years old. It’s the devastating power that makes Overeem most dangerous, as he’s produced knockouts in four of his last six victories. This will be Overeem’s first fight in Michigan.
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Francis Ngannou enters this fight with a 10-1 record and has won 50 percent of his fights by knockout. Ngannou has won his last nine fights and is coming off a January win over Andrei Arlovski. Ngannou is averaging 3.4 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy percentage of 47.8 percent. Ngannou is averaging zero takedowns with an accuracy percentage of zero percent. Ngannou still hasn’t lost a fight since his 2013 bout with Zoumana Cisse and is coming off back-to-back contests where he’s earned performance of the night honors. Ngannou is a well built fighter who is pure muscle, has a reach of 83 inches and has quick hands along with good footwork. Ngannou is known for his striking power and heavy hands, but he also has four career submission victories and is rather creative with all four of those wins coming from different holds. All 10 of Ngannou’s victories have come by stoppage. However, it’s going to be interesting to see how he handles so much time off, as his fight with Junior dos Santos was canceled. This will be Ngannou’s first fight in Michigan.
It’s going to be interesting to see how Ngannou handles so much time off, as he’s been a very active fighter picking up fights every few months, and this will be his first fight in about 11 months. Will there be some rust? Overall, these are two power strikers who do their best work standing up and landing haymakers, so it comes down to whoever you think can land that clean shot. I’m going with Ngannou anyway because he’s the bigger fighter with a three-inch reach advantage and also has the edge in terms of stamina and lasting longer if this fight goes longer than 1.5 rounds. We also know Overeem does have a questionable chin, as 10 of his 15 losses have come by knockout. That’s not good when fighting somebody such as Ngannou.
I like the younger fighter in this contest.