Carlos Condit vs. Neil Magny UFC 219 Pick, Preview, Odds, Prediction - 12/30/17
Magny vs. Condit
UFC: Saturday, December 30, 2017 (T-Mobile Arena)
The Line: -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
Carlos Condit and Neil Magny fight Saturday during UFC 219 at the T-Mobile Arena.
Carlos Condit enters this fight with a 30-10 record and has won 50 percent of his fights by knockout. Condit has lost five of his last seven fights and is coming off a 2016 loss to Demian Maia. Condit is averaging 3.78 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy percentage of 39.4 percent. Condit is averaging 0.59 takedowns with an accuracy percentage of 52.9 percent. Condit took over a year off to regroup and polish his tools, as he has had some poor results, losing five of his last seven fights with his last victory coming in 2015 against Thiago Alves. When in good form, Condit is deadly, with 28 of his 30 wins coming by a finish, as he has one-punch knockout potential and has 13 submission victories as well. Condit has a kickboxing background, is really athletic and has the stamina to still be effective in the later rounds if needed. It’s just a matter of returning to form and getting out of this rough funk he’s been in the past three years. This will be Condit’s eighth fight in Las Vegas.
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Neil Magny enters this fight with a 19-7 record and has won 53 percent of his fights by decision. Magny has won seven of his last 10 fights and is coming off a September loss to Rafael dos Anjos. Magny is averaging 3.97 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy percentage of 49.9 percent. Magny is averaging 2.66 takedowns with an accuracy percentage of 46.6 percent. Magny has lost two of his last three fights and is coming off a first round submission, but he hasn’t lost back-to-back fights since 2013. When in good form, Magny is a lengthy fighter with a reach of 80 inches and uses that both in striking and to produce 35 takedowns on the UFC level. Magny is an overall smart defensive fighter who has won 10 of his 11 career decisions and doesn’t put himself in harms way often. Magny also has a devastating ground and pound if the fight goes to the canvas, but he has ben submitted four times, so there is concern. This will be Magny’s third pro MMA fight in Las Vegas.
Condit has won just two fights the last four years and has been removed from the sport for over a year, so who the hell knows what he’s going to look like when he steps in the octagon. Magny is always a difficult matchup due to his range, length and athleticism, as he’s slippery on the canvas and has some pop in his strikes that has to be accounted for as well. There’s a lot of questions to be answered, so this is a fight I’d stay away from in terms of betting. But if I had to pick a winner, I’d side with Condit. Usually I fade guys who have been gone for a while, but the time off for Condit may have been good considering he wasn’t in good form to begin with. Get away for a bit, polish the tools and clear your head. We could see Condit of old if he was truly working on his craft during the time off. Magny is good, but he’s not unbeatable for a fighter of Condit’s skill.
I like Condit to get the bounce back victory.