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Gian Villante vs. Francimar Barroso UFC 220 Pick, Preview, Odds, Prediction - 1/20/18

Barroso vs. Villante

UFC: Sunday, January 20, 2018 (TD Garden)

The Line: -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds

TV: PPV

Gian Villante and Francimar Barroso fight Saturday during UFC 220 at the TD Garden.

Gian Villante enters this fight with a 15-8 record and has won 67 percent of his fights by knockout. Villante has split his last 16 fights and is coming off a July loss to Patrick Cummins. Villante is averaging 4.15 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy percentage of 45.5 percent. Villante is averaging 0.69 takedowns with an accuracy percentage of 24.1 percent. Villante is coming off a tight decision that could have gone either way, but he now hopes to avoid three straight losses for the first time in his career. Villante has been hit or miss since his Strikeforce days, and he needs a victory here if he’s going to keep making these main cards. Everybody knows what they’re getting when fighting Villante, as he’s a powerful striker with 10 knockout victories under his belt and landing a high percentage of his significant strikes. Villante can wrestle and has never been finished on the canvas, but he always feels he has the edge standing up where he can display his combination of athleticism and power, as his last three victories have come by knockout. This will be Villante’s first fight in Massachusetts. 

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Gian Villante vs. Francimar Barroso UFC 220 Pick, Preview, Odds, Prediction - 1/20/18

USA TODAY Sports

Francimar Barroso enters this fight with a 19-5 record and has won 53 percent of his fights by knockout. Barroso has split his last eight fights and is coming off a September loss to Aleksandar Rakic. Barroso is averaging 2.45 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy percentage of 51.3 percent. Barroso is averaging 2.56 takedowns with an accuracy percentage of 24.2 percent. Barroso is coming off his third UFC loss and hopes to avoid back-to-back losses for the first time in his career. Barroso isn’t the sexiest fighter in the world, as he spends a lot of time in the clinch and likes to wear down his opponent with a grind-it-out style. Barroso has shown to have knockout power and has a background in kickboxing, but he is more of a conservative fighter who rather muck it up as much as possible. Barroso has produced a combined nine takedowns in his last two fights. This will be Barroso’s second fight in Massachusetts.

Neither of these fighters are in the best of form, but it should be somewhat entertaining given that they both have some knockout power in their strikes. Villante is the bigger fighter and probably has the edge in the standup, but he’s in brutal form right now and will struggle with Barroso in the clinch or on the canvas. This is a fight where Barroso should be able to control the pace and get the fight where he wants it. Based on Villante’s last several bouts, this isn’t the type of fight he wants. Villante has been on the losing side of five of his eight career decisions, something this fight has a good chance to end in. 

I like Barroso to get the victory here.

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