Ovince Saint Preux vs. Ilir Latifi UFC Pick, Preview, Odds, Prediction - 1/27/18
Latifi vs. Saint Preux
UFC: Sunday, January 27, 2018 (Spectrum Center)
The Line: -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
Ovince Saint Preux and Ilir Latifi fight Saturday during UFC on Fox 27 at the Spectrum Center.
Ovince Saint Preux enters this fight with a 22-10 record and has won 50 percent of his fights by knockout. Saint Preux has split his last eight fights and is coming off a November win over Corey Anderson. Saint Preux is averaging 2.71 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy percentage of 46.8 percent. Saint Preux is averaging 1.23 takedowns with an accuracy percentage of 48.6 percent. Saint Preux had a very successful 2017 where he won three straight fights and silenced the critics who thought we’ve seen the best of OSP. Saint Preux has earned performance of the night in his last two fights and has a shot at four straight wins for the first time since 2014-13. Saint Preux is a strong, big athlete with an 80 inch reach and has finished eight of his last nine victories. Saint Preux is a powerful striker who is most effective standing up, but he also has a high school background in wrestling and has six submission victories under his belt. Saint Preux has also been finished just three times in 10 career losses, so he’s a tough guy with good conditioning and forces his opponent to beat him. This will be Saint Preux’s second fight in North Carolina.
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Ilir Latifi enters this fight with a 14-5 record and has won 43 percent of his fights by knockout. Latifi has won six of his last eight fights and is coming off a September win over Tyson Pedro. Latifi is averaging 2.11 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy percentage of 39.6 percent. Latifi is averaging 2.47 takedowns with an accuracy percentage of 37 percent. Latifi is coming off a comfortable victory at UFC 215 and will be fighting for just the second time since September of 2016. Latifi isn’t the most accurate striker but is very powerful and three of his last five victories have come by knockout due to punches. Latifi is also comfortable on the canvas where he has produced four submission victories and had four takedowns in his last fight. Latifi is a well rounded fighter and highly successful when he’s controlling the octagon, but he can show a shaky chin at times and can be taken advantage of standing up. This will be Latifi’s first fight in North Carolina.
I don’t like the fact Latifi has fought just once in the last year and a half and is giving up a seven-inch reach advantage to OSP. If those weren’t enough, Saint Preux finished the year extremely strong and has all the momentum on his side as he looks to keep climbing the rankings in the light heavyweight division. OSP has the advantage standing up, where his power and reach will control Latifi and test his defense, and he’s more than proven on the canvas where he can counter the aggressive Swede. It looks like I’m back on the Saint Preux bandwagon, well, at least for this fight.
Give me OSP to win his fourth straight bout.